**Recent model consensus points to a highest temperature near 30–32°C in Taipei on September 8, driven by the transitional influence of an approaching northeast monsoon.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble runs show reduced rainfall compared with September 6–7, with partly cloudy skies and northerly flow limiting daytime heating while preventing extreme warmth. Historical September maxima average near 31°C, but the strengthening monsoon—expected to intensify after September 9—introduces modest cooling and higher humidity that caps peaks. Minor model spread in cloud cover and wind speed accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–32°C, with lower odds for outliers reflecting the narrow forecast window and stable large-scale pattern. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on September 8?
31°C 28%
32°C 28%
33°C 13%
28°C 10%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
28%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 28%
32°C 28%
33°C 13%
28°C 10%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
28%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus points to a highest temperature near 30–32°C in Taipei on September 8, driven by the transitional influence of an approaching northeast monsoon.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble runs show reduced rainfall compared with September 6–7, with partly cloudy skies and northerly flow limiting daytime heating while preventing extreme warmth. Historical September maxima average near 31°C, but the strengthening monsoon—expected to intensify after September 9—introduces modest cooling and higher humidity that caps peaks. Minor model spread in cloud cover and wind speed accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–32°C, with lower odds for outliers reflecting the narrow forecast window and stable large-scale pattern. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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