Recent official forecasts from sources including the GFS and regional models indicate Beijing's September 6 high will likely reach 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a lingering warm air mass, with peak afternoon temperatures around 14:00–15:00 local time. This aligns with the market's tight clustering between 31 °C and 32 °C, where traders weigh model consensus against modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover that could limit insolation or allow brief clearing for higher readings. Historical September 6 averages near 28 °C and an all-time high of 32.3 °C provide context, while the approaching frontal system expected to bring cooling and rain by September 7 underscores the narrow window for these elevated values.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 6?
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
33%
32°C
41%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$235 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$392 Vol.
2%
29°C
$252 Vol.
5%
30°C
$698 Vol.
11%
31°C
$1,529 Vol.
33%
32°C
$683 Vol.
41%
33°C
$293 Vol.
9%
34°C
$390 Vol.
2%
35°C
$52 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the GFS and regional models indicate Beijing's September 6 high will likely reach 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a lingering warm air mass, with peak afternoon temperatures around 14:00–15:00 local time. This aligns with the market's tight clustering between 31 °C and 32 °C, where traders weigh model consensus against modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover that could limit insolation or allow brief clearing for higher readings. Historical September 6 averages near 28 °C and an all-time high of 32.3 °C provide context, while the approaching frontal system expected to bring cooling and rain by September 7 underscores the narrow window for these elevated values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,986Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the GFS and regional models indicate Beijing's September 6 high will likely reach 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a lingering warm air mass, with peak afternoon temperatures around 14:00–15:00 local time. This aligns with the market's tight clustering between 31 °C and 32 °C, where traders weigh model consensus against modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover that could limit insolation or allow brief clearing for higher readings. Historical September 6 averages near 28 °C and an all-time high of 32.3 °C provide context, while the approaching frontal system expected to bring cooling and rain by September 7 underscores the narrow window for these elevated values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,986Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the GFS and regional models indicate Beijing's September 6 high will likely reach 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a lingering warm air mass, with peak afternoon temperatures around 14:00–15:00 local time. This aligns with the market's tight clustering between 31 °C and 32 °C, where traders weigh model consensus against modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover that could limit insolation or allow brief clearing for higher readings. Historical September 6 averages near 28 °C and an all-time high of 32.3 °C provide context, while the approaching frontal system expected to bring cooling and rain by September 7 underscores the narrow window for these elevated values.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan