Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA consensus place New York City's peak temperature today near 84–86°F, driven by a weak high-pressure ridge, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime insolation. Trader odds cluster tightly between 82–85°F because ensemble runs show minor timing differences in the diurnal maximum and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture that could shave or add a degree or two. Historical August climatology for Central Park averages 83–85°F highs, providing context for why probabilities decay rapidly above 87°F. Final NWS verification at 8 p.m. ET will resolve the market once official maximum observations are recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 4?
84-85°F 39%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 14%
86-87°F 12%
$27,526 Vol.
$27,526 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 39%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 14%
86-87°F 12%
$27,526 Vol.
$27,526 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
$483 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$508 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$836 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,685 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$5,556 Vol.
14%
82-83°F
$2,854 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$4,129 Vol.
39%
86-87°F
$3,218 Vol.
12%
88-89°F
$2,811 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$1,676 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$769 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA consensus place New York City's peak temperature today near 84–86°F, driven by a weak high-pressure ridge, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime insolation. Trader odds cluster tightly between 82–85°F because ensemble runs show minor timing differences in the diurnal maximum and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture that could shave or add a degree or two. Historical August climatology for Central Park averages 83–85°F highs, providing context for why probabilities decay rapidly above 87°F. Final NWS verification at 8 p.m. ET will resolve the market once official maximum observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$27,526Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA consensus place New York City's peak temperature today near 84–86°F, driven by a weak high-pressure ridge, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime insolation. Trader odds cluster tightly between 82–85°F because ensemble runs show minor timing differences in the diurnal maximum and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture that could shave or add a degree or two. Historical August climatology for Central Park averages 83–85°F highs, providing context for why probabilities decay rapidly above 87°F. Final NWS verification at 8 p.m. ET will resolve the market once official maximum observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,526Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA consensus place New York City's peak temperature today near 84–86°F, driven by a weak high-pressure ridge, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime insolation. Trader odds cluster tightly between 82–85°F because ensemble runs show minor timing differences in the diurnal maximum and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture that could shave or add a degree or two. Historical August climatology for Central Park averages 83–85°F highs, providing context for why probabilities decay rapidly above 87°F. Final NWS verification at 8 p.m. ET will resolve the market once official maximum observations are recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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