Mexico City's high-elevation location (approximately 2,240 m) and August rainy-season conditions, marked by frequent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and moisture from tropical waves, typically cap daily maxima near 22–24°C. Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project a high of roughly 22–23°C (73°F) for August 25 amid overcast skies and late-day showers, consistent with the monthly average of 23–24°C. These factors position 24°C as the market favorite at 50% implied probability, while the cluster of 20–23°C outcomes at 25% each reflects model uncertainty around shower timing and any brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings. Lower or higher extremes remain low-probability given climatological baselines and current steering patterns favoring moderated temperatures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
23°C 35%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
12%
22°C
25%
23°C
35%
24°C
22%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
7%
23°C 35%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C
$7 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$2 Vol.
12%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$3 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation location (approximately 2,240 m) and August rainy-season conditions, marked by frequent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and moisture from tropical waves, typically cap daily maxima near 22–24°C. Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project a high of roughly 22–23°C (73°F) for August 25 amid overcast skies and late-day showers, consistent with the monthly average of 23–24°C. These factors position 24°C as the market favorite at 50% implied probability, while the cluster of 20–23°C outcomes at 25% each reflects model uncertainty around shower timing and any brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings. Lower or higher extremes remain low-probability given climatological baselines and current steering patterns favoring moderated temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$36Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation location (approximately 2,240 m) and August rainy-season conditions, marked by frequent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and moisture from tropical waves, typically cap daily maxima near 22–24°C. Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project a high of roughly 22–23°C (73°F) for August 25 amid overcast skies and late-day showers, consistent with the monthly average of 23–24°C. These factors position 24°C as the market favorite at 50% implied probability, while the cluster of 20–23°C outcomes at 25% each reflects model uncertainty around shower timing and any brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings. Lower or higher extremes remain low-probability given climatological baselines and current steering patterns favoring moderated temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation location (approximately 2,240 m) and August rainy-season conditions, marked by frequent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and moisture from tropical waves, typically cap daily maxima near 22–24°C. Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project a high of roughly 22–23°C (73°F) for August 25 amid overcast skies and late-day showers, consistent with the monthly average of 23–24°C. These factors position 24°C as the market favorite at 50% implied probability, while the cluster of 20–23°C outcomes at 25% each reflects model uncertainty around shower timing and any brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings. Lower or higher extremes remain low-probability given climatological baselines and current steering patterns favoring moderated temperatures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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