Google's persistent delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro continue to anchor trader sentiment, with the model teased at I/O in May 2026 for a June rollout but still limited to partner testing in early September amid shortfalls in coding benchmarks and long-horizon agent performance. Frequent 3.x Flash releases—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—have sustained momentum on lighter variants optimized for cost and speed, yet the flagship Pro remains stalled as Google prioritizes internal quality thresholds over rapid iteration. Pretraining on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has advanced, but post-training work and competitive gaps versus OpenAI and Anthropic models keep resolution odds tilted toward no Pro launch by November 1. Key near-term catalysts include any partner feedback updates or earnings commentary on timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,228,812 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
September 15
3%
September 30
32%
October 31
74%
$1,228,812 Vol.
September 15
$9,988 Vol.
3%
September 30
$52,174 Vol.
32%
October 31
$10,567 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's persistent delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro continue to anchor trader sentiment, with the model teased at I/O in May 2026 for a June rollout but still limited to partner testing in early September amid shortfalls in coding benchmarks and long-horizon agent performance. Frequent 3.x Flash releases—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—have sustained momentum on lighter variants optimized for cost and speed, yet the flagship Pro remains stalled as Google prioritizes internal quality thresholds over rapid iteration. Pretraining on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has advanced, but post-training work and competitive gaps versus OpenAI and Anthropic models keep resolution odds tilted toward no Pro launch by November 1. Key near-term catalysts include any partner feedback updates or earnings commentary on timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
Volume
$1,228,812Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's persistent delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro continue to anchor trader sentiment, with the model teased at I/O in May 2026 for a June rollout but still limited to partner testing in early September amid shortfalls in coding benchmarks and long-horizon agent performance. Frequent 3.x Flash releases—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—have sustained momentum on lighter variants optimized for cost and speed, yet the flagship Pro remains stalled as Google prioritizes internal quality thresholds over rapid iteration. Pretraining on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has advanced, but post-training work and competitive gaps versus OpenAI and Anthropic models keep resolution odds tilted toward no Pro launch by November 1. Key near-term catalysts include any partner feedback updates or earnings commentary on timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,228,812Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Google's persistent delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro continue to anchor trader sentiment, with the model teased at I/O in May 2026 for a June rollout but still limited to partner testing in early September amid shortfalls in coding benchmarks and long-horizon agent performance. Frequent 3.x Flash releases—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—have sustained momentum on lighter variants optimized for cost and speed, yet the flagship Pro remains stalled as Google prioritizes internal quality thresholds over rapid iteration. Pretraining on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has advanced, but post-training work and competitive gaps versus OpenAI and Anthropic models keep resolution odds tilted toward no Pro launch by November 1. Key near-term catalysts include any partner feedback updates or earnings commentary on timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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