Recent delays in Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro launch, originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and then shifted to July, have left the flagship large language model still in partner testing as of mid-August 2026. Traders see this pattern of tweaks for improved agentic performance and reasoning as the main driver behind the close spread between a September release and no release by month-end. Google has shipped lighter Flash variants instead while confirming Gemini 4 training has started, underscoring internal prioritization and competitive pressure from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic. Key swing factors include any official confirmation of readiness or further slips before key developer events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAucune sortie d'ici le 30 septembre 28%
29 septembre 18%
23 septembre 17%
20 septembre 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
Le ou avant le 1er septembre
12%
2 septembre
15%
3 septembre
9%
4 septembre
12%
5 septembre
13%
6 septembre
11%
7 septembre
13%
8 septembre
14%
9 septembre
13%
10 septembre
13%
11 septembre
13%
12 septembre
13%
13 septembre
13%
14 septembre
13%
15 septembre
12%
16 septembre
14%
17 septembre
13%
18 septembre
13%
19 septembre
13%
20 septembre
15%
21 septembre
11%
22 septembre
13%
23 septembre
17%
24 septembre
14%
25 septembre
10%
26 septembre
15%
27 septembre
14%
28 septembre
14%
29 septembre
18%
30 septembre
14%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 septembre
28%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 septembre 28%
29 septembre 18%
23 septembre 17%
20 septembre 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
Le ou avant le 1er septembre
$11 Vol.
12%
2 septembre
$8 Vol.
15%
3 septembre
$8 Vol.
9%
4 septembre
$8 Vol.
12%
5 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
6 septembre
$8 Vol.
11%
7 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
8 septembre
$8 Vol.
14%
9 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
10 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
11 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
12 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
13 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
14 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
15 septembre
$8 Vol.
12%
16 septembre
$8 Vol.
14%
17 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
18 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
19 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
20 septembre
$8 Vol.
15%
21 septembre
$8 Vol.
11%
22 septembre
$8 Vol.
13%
23 septembre
$8 Vol.
17%
24 septembre
$8 Vol.
14%
25 septembre
$8 Vol.
10%
26 septembre
$8 Vol.
15%
27 septembre
$8 Vol.
14%
28 septembre
$8 Vol.
14%
29 septembre
$8 Vol.
18%
30 septembre
$8 Vol.
14%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 septembre
$24 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent delays in Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro launch, originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and then shifted to July, have left the flagship large language model still in partner testing as of mid-August 2026. Traders see this pattern of tweaks for improved agentic performance and reasoning as the main driver behind the close spread between a September release and no release by month-end. Google has shipped lighter Flash variants instead while confirming Gemini 4 training has started, underscoring internal prioritization and competitive pressure from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic. Key swing factors include any official confirmation of readiness or further slips before key developer events.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$259Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent delays in Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro launch, originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and then shifted to July, have left the flagship large language model still in partner testing as of mid-August 2026. Traders see this pattern of tweaks for improved agentic performance and reasoning as the main driver behind the close spread between a September release and no release by month-end. Google has shipped lighter Flash variants instead while confirming Gemini 4 training has started, underscoring internal prioritization and competitive pressure from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic. Key swing factors include any official confirmation of readiness or further slips before key developer events.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$259Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent delays in Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro launch, originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and then shifted to July, have left the flagship large language model still in partner testing as of mid-August 2026. Traders see this pattern of tweaks for improved agentic performance and reasoning as the main driver behind the close spread between a September release and no release by month-end. Google has shipped lighter Flash variants instead while confirming Gemini 4 training has started, underscoring internal prioritization and competitive pressure from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic. Key swing factors include any official confirmation of readiness or further slips before key developer events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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