Persistent high humidity and widespread thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Zhengzhou, with latest model guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 24. Elevated dew points near 27°C, combined with cloud cover and light northeasterly flow under the subtropical high, suppress typical nighttime drops and align with the market’s leading 25°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Recent days have shown similar warm, moist conditions with lows rarely falling below 25°C, consistent with climatological August baselines. Updated high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Zhengzhou le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Zhengzhou le 24 août ?
21°C 52%
22°C 52%
23°C 52%
25°C ou plus 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
15°C ou moins
35%
16°C
22%
17°C
21%
18°C
22%
19°C
1%
20°C
22%
21°C
52%
22°C
52%
23°C
52%
24°C
28%
25°C ou plus
50%
21°C 52%
22°C 52%
23°C 52%
25°C ou plus 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
15°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
35%
16°C
$10 Vol.
22%
17°C
$140 Vol.
21%
18°C
$10 Vol.
22%
19°C
$43 Vol.
1%
20°C
$10 Vol.
22%
21°C
$10 Vol.
52%
22°C
$10 Vol.
52%
23°C
$10 Vol.
52%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity and widespread thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Zhengzhou, with latest model guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 24. Elevated dew points near 27°C, combined with cloud cover and light northeasterly flow under the subtropical high, suppress typical nighttime drops and align with the market’s leading 25°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Recent days have shown similar warm, moist conditions with lows rarely falling below 25°C, consistent with climatological August baselines. Updated high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$253Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity and widespread thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Zhengzhou, with latest model guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 24. Elevated dew points near 27°C, combined with cloud cover and light northeasterly flow under the subtropical high, suppress typical nighttime drops and align with the market’s leading 25°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Recent days have shown similar warm, moist conditions with lows rarely falling below 25°C, consistent with climatological August baselines. Updated high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$253Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high humidity and widespread thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Zhengzhou, with latest model guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 24. Elevated dew points near 27°C, combined with cloud cover and light northeasterly flow under the subtropical high, suppress typical nighttime drops and align with the market’s leading 25°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Recent days have shown similar warm, moist conditions with lows rarely falling below 25°C, consistent with climatological August baselines. Updated high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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