Recent forecast guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on August 25, consistent with late-summer norms of gradual cooling as daylight shortens. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects model divergence on overnight radiative cooling versus warmer advection, driven by a transient high-pressure ridge that could allow clear skies and calm winds for enhanced surface heat loss or, conversely, increased cloud cover and southerly flow that limits the drop. Key variables include evolving 500 hPa heights, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated ensemble runs from global models over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 25 août ?
16°C or higher 93%
6°C or below 91%
10°C 27%
11°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
6°C or below
91%
7°C
16%
8°C
16%
9°C
21%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
11%
14°C
10%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
93%
16°C or higher 93%
6°C or below 91%
10°C 27%
11°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
91%
7°C
$5 Vol.
16%
8°C
$0 Vol.
16%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$5 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on August 25, consistent with late-summer norms of gradual cooling as daylight shortens. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects model divergence on overnight radiative cooling versus warmer advection, driven by a transient high-pressure ridge that could allow clear skies and calm winds for enhanced surface heat loss or, conversely, increased cloud cover and southerly flow that limits the drop. Key variables include evolving 500 hPa heights, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated ensemble runs from global models over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on August 25, consistent with late-summer norms of gradual cooling as daylight shortens. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects model divergence on overnight radiative cooling versus warmer advection, driven by a transient high-pressure ridge that could allow clear skies and calm winds for enhanced surface heat loss or, conversely, increased cloud cover and southerly flow that limits the drop. Key variables include evolving 500 hPa heights, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated ensemble runs from global models over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on August 25, consistent with late-summer norms of gradual cooling as daylight shortens. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects model divergence on overnight radiative cooling versus warmer advection, driven by a transient high-pressure ridge that could allow clear skies and calm winds for enhanced surface heat loss or, conversely, increased cloud cover and southerly flow that limits the drop. Key variables include evolving 500 hPa heights, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated ensemble runs from global models over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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