**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data. A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 22 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 22 août ?
70-71 °F 100.0%
59°F ou moins <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$11,647 Vol.
$11,647 Vol.
22 août 2026
59°F ou moins
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67 °F
Non
68-69 °F
Non
70-71 °F
Oui
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77 °F
Non
78°F ou plus
Non
70-71 °F 100.0%
59°F ou moins <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$11,647 Vol.
$11,647 Vol.
22 août 2026
59°F ou moins
$214 Vol.
Non
60-61°F
$539 Vol.
Non
62-63°F
$562 Vol.
Non
64-65°F
$1,225 Vol.
Non
66-67 °F
$1,085 Vol.
Non
68-69 °F
$2,372 Vol.
Non
70-71 °F
$3,845 Vol.
Oui
72-73°F
$1,001 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$446 Vol.
Non
76-77 °F
$184 Vol.
Non
78°F ou plus
$174 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data.
A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$11,647Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data.
A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,647Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data. A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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