Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions across Luzon, including enhanced moisture and widespread cloud cover from nearby low-pressure systems, are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Manila and supporting minimum temperatures near 28°C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 28.1°C low at 5 a.m. on August 23 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity exceeding 85%, consistent with model consensus showing overnight lows of 27–28°C rather than the seasonal August average near 24–26°C. These factors explain the strong market-implied probability for 28°C, while lower outcomes remain possible only if clearer skies develop later. Updated PAGASA briefings and additional station readings will provide further resolution data as the day concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 23 août ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 23 août ?
28°C 91%
23°C 28%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
21°C ou moins
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
28%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
73%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 91%
23°C 28%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$120 Vol.
1%
22°C
$131 Vol.
1%
23°C
$74 Vol.
28%
24°C
$87 Vol.
17%
25°C
$12 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$97 Vol.
73%
29°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions across Luzon, including enhanced moisture and widespread cloud cover from nearby low-pressure systems, are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Manila and supporting minimum temperatures near 28°C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 28.1°C low at 5 a.m. on August 23 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity exceeding 85%, consistent with model consensus showing overnight lows of 27–28°C rather than the seasonal August average near 24–26°C. These factors explain the strong market-implied probability for 28°C, while lower outcomes remain possible only if clearer skies develop later. Updated PAGASA briefings and additional station readings will provide further resolution data as the day concludes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$1,131Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions across Luzon, including enhanced moisture and widespread cloud cover from nearby low-pressure systems, are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Manila and supporting minimum temperatures near 28°C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 28.1°C low at 5 a.m. on August 23 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity exceeding 85%, consistent with model consensus showing overnight lows of 27–28°C rather than the seasonal August average near 24–26°C. These factors explain the strong market-implied probability for 28°C, while lower outcomes remain possible only if clearer skies develop later. Updated PAGASA briefings and additional station readings will provide further resolution data as the day concludes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,131Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions across Luzon, including enhanced moisture and widespread cloud cover from nearby low-pressure systems, are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Manila and supporting minimum temperatures near 28°C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 28.1°C low at 5 a.m. on August 23 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity exceeding 85%, consistent with model consensus showing overnight lows of 27–28°C rather than the seasonal August average near 24–26°C. These factors explain the strong market-implied probability for 28°C, while lower outcomes remain possible only if clearer skies develop later. Updated PAGASA briefings and additional station readings will provide further resolution data as the day concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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