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icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ?

icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ?

août 31

sept. 1

sept. 2

août 31

sept. 1

sept. 2

25°C 39%

26°C 39%

31°C or higher 23%

30°C 21%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

25°C 39%

26°C 39%

31°C or higher 23%

30°C 21%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

21°C or below

$20 Vol.

1%

22°C

$205 Vol.

14%

23°C

$62 Vol.

19%

24°C

$98 Vol.

14%

25°C

$7 Vol.

39%

26°C

$82 Vol.

33%

27°C

$13 Vol.

19%

28°C

$120 Vol.

5%

29°C

$40 Vol.

19%

30°C

$20 Vol.

21%

31°C or higher

$40 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment clusters around 25–26°C minima for September 2, reflecting HKO forecasts of 26–31°C amid tropical cyclone Sadel and northeast monsoon influences.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer conditions. High humidity (70–95%) further moderates temperature drops, while brief afternoon sunshine may allow modest daytime warming before evening stabilization. Model consensus from multiple sources points to minima near 25–26°C, with slight variations arising from exact timing of showers and wind strength. Upcoming HKO updates and refined model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$707
Date de fin
2 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment clusters around 25–26°C minima for September 2, reflecting HKO forecasts of 26–31°C amid tropical cyclone Sadel and northeast monsoon influences.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer conditions. High humidity (70–95%) further moderates temperature drops, while brief afternoon sunshine may allow modest daytime warming before evening stabilization. Model consensus from multiple sources points to minima near 25–26°C, with slight variations arising from exact timing of showers and wind strength. Upcoming HKO updates and refined model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$707
Date de fin
2 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Connexes

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

58%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 2?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 2?

32%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?

47%

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 25°C » à 39%, suivi de « 26°C » à 33%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 39¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ? » est « 25°C » à 39%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 26°C » à 33%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.