Trader consensus around 3–6 inches for September 2026 NYC precipitation reflects substantial forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Long-range outlooks from the National Weather Service and Old Farmer’s Almanac point to a warmer early month with below-average rainfall potential across the Northeast, linked to a strengthening El Niño pattern that often suppresses Atlantic tropical activity and favors drier steering flows. However, September remains the peak of hurricane season, when remnants of tropical systems or enhanced moisture transport can produce extreme convective events capable of pushing totals above 6 inches. Historical Central Park data show high interannual variability around the 4.3-inch climatological mean, with model spread in jet-stream position and moisture convergence keeping probabilities clustered near the middle bins while allowing meaningful tail risk for both drier and wetter outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrécipitations à New York en septembre ?
Précipitations à New York en septembre ?
3-4" 23%
>6" 22%
4-5" 20%
2-3" 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
<2"
8%
2-3"
19%
3-4"
23%
4-5"
20%
5-6"
14%
>6"
22%
3-4" 23%
>6" 22%
4-5" 20%
2-3" 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
<2"
$441 Vol.
8%
2-3"
$0 Vol.
19%
3-4"
$50 Vol.
23%
4-5"
$0 Vol.
20%
5-6"
$20 Vol.
14%
>6"
$60 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 3–6 inches for September 2026 NYC precipitation reflects substantial forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Long-range outlooks from the National Weather Service and Old Farmer’s Almanac point to a warmer early month with below-average rainfall potential across the Northeast, linked to a strengthening El Niño pattern that often suppresses Atlantic tropical activity and favors drier steering flows. However, September remains the peak of hurricane season, when remnants of tropical systems or enhanced moisture transport can produce extreme convective events capable of pushing totals above 6 inches. Historical Central Park data show high interannual variability around the 4.3-inch climatological mean, with model spread in jet-stream position and moisture convergence keeping probabilities clustered near the middle bins while allowing meaningful tail risk for both drier and wetter outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Volume
$571Date de fin
2 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 3–6 inches for September 2026 NYC precipitation reflects substantial forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Long-range outlooks from the National Weather Service and Old Farmer’s Almanac point to a warmer early month with below-average rainfall potential across the Northeast, linked to a strengthening El Niño pattern that often suppresses Atlantic tropical activity and favors drier steering flows. However, September remains the peak of hurricane season, when remnants of tropical systems or enhanced moisture transport can produce extreme convective events capable of pushing totals above 6 inches. Historical Central Park data show high interannual variability around the 4.3-inch climatological mean, with model spread in jet-stream position and moisture convergence keeping probabilities clustered near the middle bins while allowing meaningful tail risk for both drier and wetter outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$571Date de fin
2 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 3–6 inches for September 2026 NYC precipitation reflects substantial forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Long-range outlooks from the National Weather Service and Old Farmer’s Almanac point to a warmer early month with below-average rainfall potential across the Northeast, linked to a strengthening El Niño pattern that often suppresses Atlantic tropical activity and favors drier steering flows. However, September remains the peak of hurricane season, when remnants of tropical systems or enhanced moisture transport can produce extreme convective events capable of pushing totals above 6 inches. Historical Central Park data show high interannual variability around the 4.3-inch climatological mean, with model spread in jet-stream position and moisture convergence keeping probabilities clustered near the middle bins while allowing meaningful tail risk for both drier and wetter outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes