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icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ?

icon for La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ?

La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ?

août 31

sept. 1

sept. 2

août 31

sept. 1

sept. 2

27°C 45.1%

25°C 43%

26°C 41%

24°C 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

27°C 45.1%

25°C 43%

26°C 41%

24°C 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

22°C or below

$796 Vol.

9%

23°C

$458 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$434 Vol.

15%

25°C

$1,483 Vol.

29%

26°C

$1,614 Vol.

58%

27°C

$2,300 Vol.

31%

28°C

$194 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$375 Vol.

1%

30°C

$317 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$114 Vol.

1%

32°C or higher

$194 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity associated with moist northeasterly flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Hong Kong on September 1.** Official forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory climatology and multiple models indicate a minimum temperature most likely between 25–27 °C, consistent with the market-implied probabilities that place 26 °C at 58 % and 27 °C and 25 °C near 30 % each. Typical September baseline lows hover around 24.7 °C, but the current overcast conditions and dew points near 24–25 °C suppress further drops. Updated model runs through the night continue to converge on this narrow range, with only modest variability possible if clearing occurs later than expected.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,278
Date de fin
1 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity associated with moist northeasterly flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Hong Kong on September 1.** Official forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory climatology and multiple models indicate a minimum temperature most likely between 25–27 °C, consistent with the market-implied probabilities that place 26 °C at 58 % and 27 °C and 25 °C near 30 % each. Typical September baseline lows hover around 24.7 °C, but the current overcast conditions and dew points near 24–25 °C suppress further drops. Updated model runs through the night continue to converge on this narrow range, with only modest variability possible if clearing occurs later than expected.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,278
Date de fin
1 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Connexes

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 26°C » à 58%, suivi de « 27°C » à 31%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 58¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 58% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 30, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ? » est « 26°C » à 58%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 58% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 27°C » à 31%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.