Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Argentina indicate a moderating spring pattern for Buenos Aires on September 2, with overnight lows most likely near 10–11°C amid northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability on 7°C or below, alongside elevated odds for 8–9°C outcomes, appears driven by uncertainty around potential southward advection of cooler mid-latitude air and variability in boundary-layer mixing overnight. Historical September climatology shows typical minimums of 9–11°C with occasional excursions below 8°C when high pressure strengthens over the region, while recent model runs highlight divergence in the strength and timing of any post-frontal cooling. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours on wind shifts and cloud cover will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 2 septembre ?
7°C ou moins 49%
17°C ou plus 33%
9°C 29%
8°C 26%
7°C ou moins
49%
8°C
26%
9°C
29%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
20%
13°C
16%
14°C
21%
15°C
10%
16°C
7%
17°C ou plus
33%
7°C ou moins 49%
17°C ou plus 33%
9°C 29%
8°C 26%
7°C ou moins
49%
8°C
26%
9°C
29%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
20%
13°C
16%
14°C
21%
15°C
10%
16°C
7%
17°C ou plus
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Argentina indicate a moderating spring pattern for Buenos Aires on September 2, with overnight lows most likely near 10–11°C amid northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability on 7°C or below, alongside elevated odds for 8–9°C outcomes, appears driven by uncertainty around potential southward advection of cooler mid-latitude air and variability in boundary-layer mixing overnight. Historical September climatology shows typical minimums of 9–11°C with occasional excursions below 8°C when high pressure strengthens over the region, while recent model runs highlight divergence in the strength and timing of any post-frontal cooling. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours on wind shifts and cloud cover will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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