Recent model consensus from sources including AEMET and European guidance points to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light northeasterly flow over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34 °C through strong diurnal heating on the central plateau. Late-summer climatology shows typical highs of 30–32 °C, but the current pattern lacks significant cloud cover or Atlantic moisture that would suppress peak temperatures. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with limited risk of either a 35 °C spike from enhanced insolation or a cooler 32 °C outcome under slightly stronger mixing, aligning trader probabilities with the most likely observed range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 31 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 31 août ?
34°C 62%
33°C 21%
35°C 19%
32°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
21%
34°C
62%
35°C
19%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 62%
33°C 21%
35°C 19%
32°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
29°C or below
$432 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$264 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,510 Vol.
21%
34°C
$1,241 Vol.
62%
35°C
$2,074 Vol.
19%
36°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including AEMET and European guidance points to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light northeasterly flow over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34 °C through strong diurnal heating on the central plateau. Late-summer climatology shows typical highs of 30–32 °C, but the current pattern lacks significant cloud cover or Atlantic moisture that would suppress peak temperatures. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with limited risk of either a 35 °C spike from enhanced insolation or a cooler 32 °C outcome under slightly stronger mixing, aligning trader probabilities with the most likely observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,641Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including AEMET and European guidance points to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light northeasterly flow over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34 °C through strong diurnal heating on the central plateau. Late-summer climatology shows typical highs of 30–32 °C, but the current pattern lacks significant cloud cover or Atlantic moisture that would suppress peak temperatures. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with limited risk of either a 35 °C spike from enhanced insolation or a cooler 32 °C outcome under slightly stronger mixing, aligning trader probabilities with the most likely observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,641Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including AEMET and European guidance points to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light northeasterly flow over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34 °C through strong diurnal heating on the central plateau. Late-summer climatology shows typical highs of 30–32 °C, but the current pattern lacks significant cloud cover or Atlantic moisture that would suppress peak temperatures. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with limited risk of either a 35 °C spike from enhanced insolation or a cooler 32 °C outcome under slightly stronger mixing, aligning trader probabilities with the most likely observed range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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