Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Shenzhen on August 30 due to consistent outputs from regional forecast models and real-time observations showing peak temperatures in that narrow range amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple sources, including updated guidance from agencies tracking Guangdong weather, project daytime maxima near 31°C with cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological norms for the area, where August highs often stabilize around 30–32°C. A meaningful deviation would require unexpected model shifts, such as clearer skies allowing brief additional heating or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current data and timing on the resolution day make such outcomes improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 30 août ?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$45,521 Vol.
$45,521 Vol.
30 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$45,521 Vol.
$45,521 Vol.
30 août 2026
25°C or below
$453 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$903 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,713 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,529 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,156 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,447 Vol.
100%
32°C
$5,671 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,597 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,366 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Shenzhen on August 30 due to consistent outputs from regional forecast models and real-time observations showing peak temperatures in that narrow range amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple sources, including updated guidance from agencies tracking Guangdong weather, project daytime maxima near 31°C with cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological norms for the area, where August highs often stabilize around 30–32°C. A meaningful deviation would require unexpected model shifts, such as clearer skies allowing brief additional heating or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current data and timing on the resolution day make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$45,521Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Shenzhen on August 30 due to consistent outputs from regional forecast models and real-time observations showing peak temperatures in that narrow range amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple sources, including updated guidance from agencies tracking Guangdong weather, project daytime maxima near 31°C with cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological norms for the area, where August highs often stabilize around 30–32°C. A meaningful deviation would require unexpected model shifts, such as clearer skies allowing brief additional heating or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current data and timing on the resolution day make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,521Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Shenzhen on August 30 due to consistent outputs from regional forecast models and real-time observations showing peak temperatures in that narrow range amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple sources, including updated guidance from agencies tracking Guangdong weather, project daytime maxima near 31°C with cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological norms for the area, where August highs often stabilize around 30–32°C. A meaningful deviation would require unexpected model shifts, such as clearer skies allowing brief additional heating or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current data and timing on the resolution day make such outcomes improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes