**Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C daily maximum in Shanghai on August 30 reflects official station observations and forecast guidance showing a peak near that threshold.** Persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds of 4–6 m/s, and scattered showers or thunderstorms have limited surface heating under high humidity (70–90%), keeping afternoon temperatures from exceeding recent readings of 31–32°C at key sites like Xujiahui. This aligns with climatological August norms of 31°C daytime highs amid the East Asian monsoon. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or a temporary wind shift reducing marine influence, potentially pushing the official max 1–2°C higher before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 30 août ?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$77,996 Vol.
$77,996 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$77,996 Vol.
$77,996 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C daily maximum in Shanghai on August 30 reflects official station observations and forecast guidance showing a peak near that threshold.** Persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds of 4–6 m/s, and scattered showers or thunderstorms have limited surface heating under high humidity (70–90%), keeping afternoon temperatures from exceeding recent readings of 31–32°C at key sites like Xujiahui. This aligns with climatological August norms of 31°C daytime highs amid the East Asian monsoon. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or a temporary wind shift reducing marine influence, potentially pushing the official max 1–2°C higher before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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