**Trader consensus at 100% for a 33°C high in Chengdu on August 30, 2026, reflects strong alignment across official forecasts and observational trends.** Multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office and local Chinese weather services, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeast winds around 2–8 km/h, and moderate humidity, aligning with the post-Sanfu seasonal cooling trend in the Sichuan Basin. Recent data show temperatures moderating after earlier August peaks (e.g., 39°C on August 25), with increased cloud cover and scattered precipitation potential limiting further intensification. This positioning draws from consistent model runs and climatological baselines for late August, where highs typically range 30–34°C. Realistic challenges would require significant forecast revisions, such as unexpected clearing that boosts solar insolation or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though current consensus across agencies makes such shifts unlikely before daily resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 30 août ?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$51,382 Vol.
$51,382 Vol.
30 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$51,382 Vol.
$51,382 Vol.
30 août 2026
28°C or below
$2,501 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,279 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,332 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,214 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,287 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,692 Vol.
100%
34°C
$5,081 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$7,716 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$7,112 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$4,939 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$4,230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 33°C high in Chengdu on August 30, 2026, reflects strong alignment across official forecasts and observational trends.** Multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office and local Chinese weather services, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeast winds around 2–8 km/h, and moderate humidity, aligning with the post-Sanfu seasonal cooling trend in the Sichuan Basin. Recent data show temperatures moderating after earlier August peaks (e.g., 39°C on August 25), with increased cloud cover and scattered precipitation potential limiting further intensification.
This positioning draws from consistent model runs and climatological baselines for late August, where highs typically range 30–34°C. Realistic challenges would require significant forecast revisions, such as unexpected clearing that boosts solar insolation or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though current consensus across agencies makes such shifts unlikely before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$51,382Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 33°C high in Chengdu on August 30, 2026, reflects strong alignment across official forecasts and observational trends.** Multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office and local Chinese weather services, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeast winds around 2–8 km/h, and moderate humidity, aligning with the post-Sanfu seasonal cooling trend in the Sichuan Basin. Recent data show temperatures moderating after earlier August peaks (e.g., 39°C on August 25), with increased cloud cover and scattered precipitation potential limiting further intensification.
This positioning draws from consistent model runs and climatological baselines for late August, where highs typically range 30–34°C. Realistic challenges would require significant forecast revisions, such as unexpected clearing that boosts solar insolation or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though current consensus across agencies makes such shifts unlikely before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,382Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 33°C high in Chengdu on August 30, 2026, reflects strong alignment across official forecasts and observational trends.** Multiple meteorological sources, including the Met Office and local Chinese weather services, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northeast winds around 2–8 km/h, and moderate humidity, aligning with the post-Sanfu seasonal cooling trend in the Sichuan Basin. Recent data show temperatures moderating after earlier August peaks (e.g., 39°C on August 25), with increased cloud cover and scattered precipitation potential limiting further intensification. This positioning draws from consistent model runs and climatological baselines for late August, where highs typically range 30–34°C. Realistic challenges would require significant forecast revisions, such as unexpected clearing that boosts solar insolation or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though current consensus across agencies makes such shifts unlikely before daily resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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