Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving expectations for a typical late-summer overnight minimum in Madrid on August 31. Multiple forecasts from sources including AEMET-aligned models and global ensembles project daytime highs near 32–34°C under sunny conditions with light winds, allowing efficient radiative cooling after sunset to produce lows of 17–20°C. Dry air and minimal cloud cover enhance this nocturnal drop, consistent with Madrid’s continental Mediterranean climate where August minima often reach the upper teens Celsius. Trader consensus, with 46.5% implied probability on 16°C or below and 27.5% on exactly 17°C, reflects these model runs while acknowledging potential for minor revisions from updated guidance before the overnight period concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Madrid le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Madrid le 31 août ?
16°C or below 47%
17°C 28%
21°C 14%
18°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
16°C or below
47%
17°C
28%
18°C
10%
19°C
9%
20°C
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 47%
17°C 28%
21°C 14%
18°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
16°C or below
$8 Vol.
47%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$28 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving expectations for a typical late-summer overnight minimum in Madrid on August 31. Multiple forecasts from sources including AEMET-aligned models and global ensembles project daytime highs near 32–34°C under sunny conditions with light winds, allowing efficient radiative cooling after sunset to produce lows of 17–20°C. Dry air and minimal cloud cover enhance this nocturnal drop, consistent with Madrid’s continental Mediterranean climate where August minima often reach the upper teens Celsius. Trader consensus, with 46.5% implied probability on 16°C or below and 27.5% on exactly 17°C, reflects these model runs while acknowledging potential for minor revisions from updated guidance before the overnight period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$46Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving expectations for a typical late-summer overnight minimum in Madrid on August 31. Multiple forecasts from sources including AEMET-aligned models and global ensembles project daytime highs near 32–34°C under sunny conditions with light winds, allowing efficient radiative cooling after sunset to produce lows of 17–20°C. Dry air and minimal cloud cover enhance this nocturnal drop, consistent with Madrid’s continental Mediterranean climate where August minima often reach the upper teens Celsius. Trader consensus, with 46.5% implied probability on 16°C or below and 27.5% on exactly 17°C, reflects these model runs while acknowledging potential for minor revisions from updated guidance before the overnight period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving expectations for a typical late-summer overnight minimum in Madrid on August 31. Multiple forecasts from sources including AEMET-aligned models and global ensembles project daytime highs near 32–34°C under sunny conditions with light winds, allowing efficient radiative cooling after sunset to produce lows of 17–20°C. Dry air and minimal cloud cover enhance this nocturnal drop, consistent with Madrid’s continental Mediterranean climate where August minima often reach the upper teens Celsius. Trader consensus, with 46.5% implied probability on 16°C or below and 27.5% on exactly 17°C, reflects these model runs while acknowledging potential for minor revisions from updated guidance before the overnight period concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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