Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, EaseWeather, and others project a nighttime low near 13–15°C for Mexico City on September 2, consistent with early-September climatology at the city's 2,240 m elevation during the rainy season. Afternoon convection, high humidity, and cloud cover from tropical waves moderate diurnal ranges and limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum from dropping sharply. Trader consensus, with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 13–15°C and a modest edge to 18°C+, aligns with this consensus while pricing residual uncertainty from model spread, potential clearer-sky episodes, or subtle steering-pattern shifts ahead of the first seasonal cold fronts. Updated NHC and local meteorological service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 2 septembre ?
18°C ou plus 69%
11°C 49%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
5%
9°C
17%
10°C
20%
11°C
49%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C ou plus
69%
18°C ou plus 69%
11°C 49%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
5%
9°C
$5 Vol.
17%
10°C
$15 Vol.
20%
11°C
$15 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C ou plus
$6 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, EaseWeather, and others project a nighttime low near 13–15°C for Mexico City on September 2, consistent with early-September climatology at the city's 2,240 m elevation during the rainy season. Afternoon convection, high humidity, and cloud cover from tropical waves moderate diurnal ranges and limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum from dropping sharply. Trader consensus, with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 13–15°C and a modest edge to 18°C+, aligns with this consensus while pricing residual uncertainty from model spread, potential clearer-sky episodes, or subtle steering-pattern shifts ahead of the first seasonal cold fronts. Updated NHC and local meteorological service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$46Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, EaseWeather, and others project a nighttime low near 13–15°C for Mexico City on September 2, consistent with early-September climatology at the city's 2,240 m elevation during the rainy season. Afternoon convection, high humidity, and cloud cover from tropical waves moderate diurnal ranges and limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum from dropping sharply. Trader consensus, with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 13–15°C and a modest edge to 18°C+, aligns with this consensus while pricing residual uncertainty from model spread, potential clearer-sky episodes, or subtle steering-pattern shifts ahead of the first seasonal cold fronts. Updated NHC and local meteorological service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, EaseWeather, and others project a nighttime low near 13–15°C for Mexico City on September 2, consistent with early-September climatology at the city's 2,240 m elevation during the rainy season. Afternoon convection, high humidity, and cloud cover from tropical waves moderate diurnal ranges and limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum from dropping sharply. Trader consensus, with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 13–15°C and a modest edge to 18°C+, aligns with this consensus while pricing residual uncertainty from model spread, potential clearer-sky episodes, or subtle steering-pattern shifts ahead of the first seasonal cold fronts. Updated NHC and local meteorological service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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