Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to overnight minimum temperatures of 25–28°C in Chongqing on August 23, yet trader consensus heavily favors a 29°C low at 74.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects model consensus on persistent heat and humidity from the subtropical monsoon pattern, with urban heat retention and light winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but current conditions and recent model runs have shifted expectations upward, reducing odds for outcomes below 28°C while keeping lower-probability tails for cooler anomalies minimal. Updated regional observations and any late-day forecast revisions from monitoring agencies will be key near resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chongqing le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Chongqing le 23 août ?
29°C 74%
28°C 3%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1%
$1,890 Vol.
$1,890 Vol.
23 août 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
17%
28°C
19%
29°C
74%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
29°C 74%
28°C 3%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1%
$1,890 Vol.
$1,890 Vol.
23 août 2026
21°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$189 Vol.
6%
25°C
$92 Vol.
1%
26°C
$97 Vol.
1%
27°C
$91 Vol.
17%
28°C
$10 Vol.
19%
29°C
$157 Vol.
74%
30°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to overnight minimum temperatures of 25–28°C in Chongqing on August 23, yet trader consensus heavily favors a 29°C low at 74.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects model consensus on persistent heat and humidity from the subtropical monsoon pattern, with urban heat retention and light winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but current conditions and recent model runs have shifted expectations upward, reducing odds for outcomes below 28°C while keeping lower-probability tails for cooler anomalies minimal. Updated regional observations and any late-day forecast revisions from monitoring agencies will be key near resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,890Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to overnight minimum temperatures of 25–28°C in Chongqing on August 23, yet trader consensus heavily favors a 29°C low at 74.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects model consensus on persistent heat and humidity from the subtropical monsoon pattern, with urban heat retention and light winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but current conditions and recent model runs have shifted expectations upward, reducing odds for outcomes below 28°C while keeping lower-probability tails for cooler anomalies minimal. Updated regional observations and any late-day forecast revisions from monitoring agencies will be key near resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,890Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to overnight minimum temperatures of 25–28°C in Chongqing on August 23, yet trader consensus heavily favors a 29°C low at 74.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects model consensus on persistent heat and humidity from the subtropical monsoon pattern, with urban heat retention and light winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but current conditions and recent model runs have shifted expectations upward, reducing odds for outcomes below 28°C while keeping lower-probability tails for cooler anomalies minimal. Updated regional observations and any late-day forecast revisions from monitoring agencies will be key near resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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