Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Chicago overnight lows near 60–65°F for August 24, consistent with late-summer climatology and Lake Michigan moderation. Trader sentiment clusters around the 56–59°F bins because small differences in radiative cooling—driven by cloud cover, near-surface wind speeds, and dew-point depression—can shift the minimum by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions promote stronger nocturnal heat loss and lower readings, while increased moisture or light mixing limits cooling. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare observation, markets price in typical forecast spread from the 48-hour window, where model consensus remains moderate but sensitive to any last-minute high-pressure or frontal adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chicago le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Chicago le 24 août ?
47°F ou moins 71%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 30%
66°F ou plus 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
47°F ou moins
71%
48-49 °F
10%
50-51 °F
18%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
35%
60-61 °F
16%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
8%
66°F ou plus
26%
47°F ou moins 71%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 30%
66°F ou plus 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
47°F ou moins
$5 Vol.
71%
48-49 °F
$5 Vol.
10%
50-51 °F
$55 Vol.
18%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
11%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
20%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
30%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
35%
60-61 °F
$0 Vol.
16%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
14%
64-65°F
$20 Vol.
8%
66°F ou plus
$15 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Chicago overnight lows near 60–65°F for August 24, consistent with late-summer climatology and Lake Michigan moderation. Trader sentiment clusters around the 56–59°F bins because small differences in radiative cooling—driven by cloud cover, near-surface wind speeds, and dew-point depression—can shift the minimum by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions promote stronger nocturnal heat loss and lower readings, while increased moisture or light mixing limits cooling. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare observation, markets price in typical forecast spread from the 48-hour window, where model consensus remains moderate but sensitive to any last-minute high-pressure or frontal adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$55Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Chicago overnight lows near 60–65°F for August 24, consistent with late-summer climatology and Lake Michigan moderation. Trader sentiment clusters around the 56–59°F bins because small differences in radiative cooling—driven by cloud cover, near-surface wind speeds, and dew-point depression—can shift the minimum by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions promote stronger nocturnal heat loss and lower readings, while increased moisture or light mixing limits cooling. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare observation, markets price in typical forecast spread from the 48-hour window, where model consensus remains moderate but sensitive to any last-minute high-pressure or frontal adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Chicago overnight lows near 60–65°F for August 24, consistent with late-summer climatology and Lake Michigan moderation. Trader sentiment clusters around the 56–59°F bins because small differences in radiative cooling—driven by cloud cover, near-surface wind speeds, and dew-point depression—can shift the minimum by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions promote stronger nocturnal heat loss and lower readings, while increased moisture or light mixing limits cooling. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare observation, markets price in typical forecast spread from the 48-hour window, where model consensus remains moderate but sensitive to any last-minute high-pressure or frontal adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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