Current official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project an overnight minimum of 11–12 °C for Amsterdam on 23 August 2026 under a stable high-pressure regime with light northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where average lows reach 12–14 °C as Atlantic influence moderates continental air. Model consensus across European runs shows minimal spread, supporting the market-implied 98% odds on 12 °C as the lowest temperature. Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from altered steering patterns, increased cloudiness reducing radiative cooling, or station-specific microclimate effects pushing the reading to 11 °C or 13 °C. Updated model runs and official observations will determine final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 23 août ?
12°C 98%
11°C 3%
10°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
$5,158 Vol.
$5,158 Vol.
23 août 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
98%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 98%
11°C 3%
10°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
$5,158 Vol.
$5,158 Vol.
23 août 2026
8°C or below
$372 Vol.
1%
9°C
$382 Vol.
1%
10°C
$816 Vol.
1%
11°C
$393 Vol.
3%
12°C
$542 Vol.
98%
13°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$530 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou plus
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project an overnight minimum of 11–12 °C for Amsterdam on 23 August 2026 under a stable high-pressure regime with light northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where average lows reach 12–14 °C as Atlantic influence moderates continental air. Model consensus across European runs shows minimal spread, supporting the market-implied 98% odds on 12 °C as the lowest temperature. Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from altered steering patterns, increased cloudiness reducing radiative cooling, or station-specific microclimate effects pushing the reading to 11 °C or 13 °C. Updated model runs and official observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$5,158Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project an overnight minimum of 11–12 °C for Amsterdam on 23 August 2026 under a stable high-pressure regime with light northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where average lows reach 12–14 °C as Atlantic influence moderates continental air. Model consensus across European runs shows minimal spread, supporting the market-implied 98% odds on 12 °C as the lowest temperature. Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from altered steering patterns, increased cloudiness reducing radiative cooling, or station-specific microclimate effects pushing the reading to 11 °C or 13 °C. Updated model runs and official observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,158Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project an overnight minimum of 11–12 °C for Amsterdam on 23 August 2026 under a stable high-pressure regime with light northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where average lows reach 12–14 °C as Atlantic influence moderates continental air. Model consensus across European runs shows minimal spread, supporting the market-implied 98% odds on 12 °C as the lowest temperature. Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from altered steering patterns, increased cloudiness reducing radiative cooling, or station-specific microclimate effects pushing the reading to 11 °C or 13 °C. Updated model runs and official observations will determine final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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