The pending federal prosecution of former FBI Director James Comey, stemming from an April 2026 indictment on two threat-related felonies tied to a 2025 social media post, underpins trader consensus that a prison sentence will not occur by December 31, 2026. Comey has pleaded not guilty, remains free on recognizance, and faces a trial now scheduled for October 2026 in North Carolina federal court, leaving minimal time for conviction and sentencing within the calendar year even if prosecutors prevail. Prior charges from 2025 were dismissed, and defense motions citing selective prosecution remain pending. While a swift plea agreement or expedited post-trial proceedings could theoretically produce a sentence before year-end, the procedural timeline and presumption of innocence sustain the market's strong positioning against resolution in 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
2% chance
$156,897 Vol.
$156,897 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Oui
2% chance
$156,897 Vol.
$156,897 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The pending federal prosecution of former FBI Director James Comey, stemming from an April 2026 indictment on two threat-related felonies tied to a 2025 social media post, underpins trader consensus that a prison sentence will not occur by December 31, 2026. Comey has pleaded not guilty, remains free on recognizance, and faces a trial now scheduled for October 2026 in North Carolina federal court, leaving minimal time for conviction and sentencing within the calendar year even if prosecutors prevail. Prior charges from 2025 were dismissed, and defense motions citing selective prosecution remain pending. While a swift plea agreement or expedited post-trial proceedings could theoretically produce a sentence before year-end, the procedural timeline and presumption of innocence sustain the market's strong positioning against resolution in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$156,897Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The pending federal prosecution of former FBI Director James Comey, stemming from an April 2026 indictment on two threat-related felonies tied to a 2025 social media post, underpins trader consensus that a prison sentence will not occur by December 31, 2026. Comey has pleaded not guilty, remains free on recognizance, and faces a trial now scheduled for October 2026 in North Carolina federal court, leaving minimal time for conviction and sentencing within the calendar year even if prosecutors prevail. Prior charges from 2025 were dismissed, and defense motions citing selective prosecution remain pending. While a swift plea agreement or expedited post-trial proceedings could theoretically produce a sentence before year-end, the procedural timeline and presumption of innocence sustain the market's strong positioning against resolution in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$156,897Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The pending federal prosecution of former FBI Director James Comey, stemming from an April 2026 indictment on two threat-related felonies tied to a 2025 social media post, underpins trader consensus that a prison sentence will not occur by December 31, 2026. Comey has pleaded not guilty, remains free on recognizance, and faces a trial now scheduled for October 2026 in North Carolina federal court, leaving minimal time for conviction and sentencing within the calendar year even if prosecutors prevail. Prior charges from 2025 were dismissed, and defense motions citing selective prosecution remain pending. While a swift plea agreement or expedited post-trial proceedings could theoretically produce a sentence before year-end, the procedural timeline and presumption of innocence sustain the market's strong positioning against resolution in 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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