The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, despite his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein contacts, underpins trader consensus that he will avoid any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Thames Valley Police continue the investigation and have sought additional witnesses, yet UK legal timelines for charging decisions, prosecutions, and appeals typically extend well beyond the current window. The high evidentiary threshold for the common-law offense further supports limited near-term risk of conviction. Late emergence of compelling new evidence prompting swift charges and a guilty outcome remains the primary pathway that could still alter this assessment.