Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 63.5% trader consensus that President Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic lawmakers have introduced articles citing executive actions during the 2026 Iran conflict and related statements, though Republican majorities have blocked advancement. Trump has publicly linked potential impeachment to midterm losses, and recent polling shows majority public support for proceedings. A House flip would shift committee control and enable formal inquiries, consistent with historical patterns under divided government, while Senate conviction thresholds remain a separate barrier. Scheduled November elections and any late-session resolutions will shape near-term momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Trump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Oui
64% chance
$89,646 Vol.
$89,646 Vol.
20 janv. 2029
Oui
64% chance
$89,646 Vol.
$89,646 Vol.
20 janv. 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 63.5% trader consensus that President Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic lawmakers have introduced articles citing executive actions during the 2026 Iran conflict and related statements, though Republican majorities have blocked advancement. Trump has publicly linked potential impeachment to midterm losses, and recent polling shows majority public support for proceedings. A House flip would shift committee control and enable formal inquiries, consistent with historical patterns under divided government, while Senate conviction thresholds remain a separate barrier. Scheduled November elections and any late-session resolutions will shape near-term momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$89,646Date de fin
20 janv. 2029Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 63.5% trader consensus that President Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic lawmakers have introduced articles citing executive actions during the 2026 Iran conflict and related statements, though Republican majorities have blocked advancement. Trump has publicly linked potential impeachment to midterm losses, and recent polling shows majority public support for proceedings. A House flip would shift committee control and enable formal inquiries, consistent with historical patterns under divided government, while Senate conviction thresholds remain a separate barrier. Scheduled November elections and any late-session resolutions will shape near-term momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$89,646Date de fin
20 janv. 2029Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 63.5% trader consensus that President Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic lawmakers have introduced articles citing executive actions during the 2026 Iran conflict and related statements, though Republican majorities have blocked advancement. Trump has publicly linked potential impeachment to midterm losses, and recent polling shows majority public support for proceedings. A House flip would shift committee control and enable formal inquiries, consistent with historical patterns under divided government, while Senate conviction thresholds remain a separate barrier. Scheduled November elections and any late-session resolutions will shape near-term momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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