Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's August 2026 statements that she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential or Senate bid, combined with her team's ongoing positioning and rising national profile, form the primary driver behind traders assigning a 57.5% implied probability to a presidential announcement before 2028. Her visibility in Democratic presidential nomination markets, where she currently leads at around 20%, reflects progressive momentum and early donor interest, while a Senate challenge against Chuck Schumer remains a secondary but viable path tied to New York dynamics. Recent comments on personal planning ahead of the cycle and participation in midterm campaigning have sustained speculation without closing either lane, keeping the neither outcome at just 7%. A crowded 2028 Democratic field and structural factors like term timelines continue to shape these assessments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'AOC annoncera-t-elle une course au Sénat ou à la présidence avant 2028 ?
L'AOC annoncera-t-elle une course au Sénat ou à la présidence avant 2028 ?
Président 58%
Sénat 34%
Aucun des deux 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2027
Président
58%
Sénat
34%
Aucun des deux
8%
Président 58%
Sénat 34%
Aucun des deux 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2027
Président
$151 Vol.
58%
Sénat
$472 Vol.
34%
Aucun des deux
$331 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's August 2026 statements that she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential or Senate bid, combined with her team's ongoing positioning and rising national profile, form the primary driver behind traders assigning a 57.5% implied probability to a presidential announcement before 2028. Her visibility in Democratic presidential nomination markets, where she currently leads at around 20%, reflects progressive momentum and early donor interest, while a Senate challenge against Chuck Schumer remains a secondary but viable path tied to New York dynamics. Recent comments on personal planning ahead of the cycle and participation in midterm campaigning have sustained speculation without closing either lane, keeping the neither outcome at just 7%. A crowded 2028 Democratic field and structural factors like term timelines continue to shape these assessments.
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$954Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's August 2026 statements that she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential or Senate bid, combined with her team's ongoing positioning and rising national profile, form the primary driver behind traders assigning a 57.5% implied probability to a presidential announcement before 2028. Her visibility in Democratic presidential nomination markets, where she currently leads at around 20%, reflects progressive momentum and early donor interest, while a Senate challenge against Chuck Schumer remains a secondary but viable path tied to New York dynamics. Recent comments on personal planning ahead of the cycle and participation in midterm campaigning have sustained speculation without closing either lane, keeping the neither outcome at just 7%. A crowded 2028 Democratic field and structural factors like term timelines continue to shape these assessments.
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$954Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's August 2026 statements that she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential or Senate bid, combined with her team's ongoing positioning and rising national profile, form the primary driver behind traders assigning a 57.5% implied probability to a presidential announcement before 2028. Her visibility in Democratic presidential nomination markets, where she currently leads at around 20%, reflects progressive momentum and early donor interest, while a Senate challenge against Chuck Schumer remains a secondary but viable path tied to New York dynamics. Recent comments on personal planning ahead of the cycle and participation in midterm campaigning have sustained speculation without closing either lane, keeping the neither outcome at just 7%. A crowded 2028 Democratic field and structural factors like term timelines continue to shape these assessments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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