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icon for Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed d'octobre ?

Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed d'octobre ?

icon for Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed d'octobre ?

Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed d'octobre ?

sept. 16

oct. 28

déc. 9

janv. 27, 2027

sept. 16

oct. 28

déc. 9

janv. 27, 2027

3 25%

2 22%

1 21%

4+ 17%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

3 25%

2 22%

1 21%

4+ 17%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

0

$320 Vol.

15%

1

$345 Vol.

21%

2

$320 Vol.

22%

3

$340 Vol.

25%

4+

$689 Vol.

17%

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings, with headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3% through July, alongside a stable labor market at roughly 4.1% unemployment, anchor trader expectations for a divided October 27-28 FOMC vote. Recent July minutes and the 9-3 hold decision—with three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike—highlight persistent splits between members prioritizing price stability and those favoring patience amid supply shocks and energy pressures. The September 15-16 meeting, August CPI release on September 11, and any shifts in Fed communications under Chair Warsh represent key near-term catalysts that could alter the balance of views. Current closely matched implied probabilities reflect this data-dependent uncertainty and the committee's skin-in-the-game assessment of risks on both sides of the dual mandate.

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,014
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings, with headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3% through July, alongside a stable labor market at roughly 4.1% unemployment, anchor trader expectations for a divided October 27-28 FOMC vote. Recent July minutes and the 9-3 hold decision—with three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike—highlight persistent splits between members prioritizing price stability and those favoring patience amid supply shocks and energy pressures. The September 15-16 meeting, August CPI release on September 11, and any shifts in Fed communications under Chair Warsh represent key near-term catalysts that could alter the balance of views. Current closely matched implied probabilities reflect this data-dependent uncertainty and the committee's skin-in-the-game assessment of risks on both sides of the dual mandate.

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,014
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Trois personnes vont-elles s’opposer à la décision de la Fed en septembre ?

Trois personnes vont-elles s’opposer à la décision de la Fed en septembre ?

31%
Oui
icon for Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?

Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?

24%
icon for Trois personnes vont-elles s'opposer à la décision de la Fed en janvier ?

Trois personnes vont-elles s'opposer à la décision de la Fed en janvier ?

28%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed d'octobre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 3 » à 25%, suivi de « 2 » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 25¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 25% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed d'octobre ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 8, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed d'octobre ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed d'octobre ? » est « 3 » à 25%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 25% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 2 » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed d'octobre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.