Official forecasts for Wellington on September 5, 2026, from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C under partly cloudy, windy northwest flow, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 14–15°C outcomes. Early spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce mean September highs of 13–14°C in this temperate marine climate, with recent observations around 16°C on September 4 showing no significant departure from norms. Strong winds may influence perceived temperatures but do not alter the actual maximum recorded at official stations. Model consensus shows limited upside risk for 16°C or higher given stable pressure patterns and absence of warm advection, while downside to 13°C or below remains unlikely barring an unexpected frontal passage. Updated observations later today will determine final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 5 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 5 septembre ?
15°C 55%
14°C 39%
16°C 4%
17°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$36,977 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$36,977 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
39%
15°C
55%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 55%
14°C 39%
16°C 4%
17°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$36,977 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$36,977 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$250 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$403 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$324 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,458 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,953 Vol.
39%
15°C
$8,106 Vol.
55%
16°C
$9,927 Vol.
4%
17°C
$3,945 Vol.
1%
18°C
$4,203 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou plus
$231 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Wellington on September 5, 2026, from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C under partly cloudy, windy northwest flow, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 14–15°C outcomes. Early spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce mean September highs of 13–14°C in this temperate marine climate, with recent observations around 16°C on September 4 showing no significant departure from norms. Strong winds may influence perceived temperatures but do not alter the actual maximum recorded at official stations. Model consensus shows limited upside risk for 16°C or higher given stable pressure patterns and absence of warm advection, while downside to 13°C or below remains unlikely barring an unexpected frontal passage. Updated observations later today will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$36,977Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Wellington on September 5, 2026, from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C under partly cloudy, windy northwest flow, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 14–15°C outcomes. Early spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce mean September highs of 13–14°C in this temperate marine climate, with recent observations around 16°C on September 4 showing no significant departure from norms. Strong winds may influence perceived temperatures but do not alter the actual maximum recorded at official stations. Model consensus shows limited upside risk for 16°C or higher given stable pressure patterns and absence of warm advection, while downside to 13°C or below remains unlikely barring an unexpected frontal passage. Updated observations later today will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,977Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Wellington on September 5, 2026, from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C under partly cloudy, windy northwest flow, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 14–15°C outcomes. Early spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce mean September highs of 13–14°C in this temperate marine climate, with recent observations around 16°C on September 4 showing no significant departure from norms. Strong winds may influence perceived temperatures but do not alter the actual maximum recorded at official stations. Model consensus shows limited upside risk for 16°C or higher given stable pressure patterns and absence of warm advection, while downside to 13°C or below remains unlikely barring an unexpected frontal passage. Updated observations later today will determine final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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