Recent meteorological forecasts indicate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air into Wellington, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 15°C on August 25. Official guidance from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles shows mostly fine conditions with highs of 14–15°C under building high pressure, slightly above the late-winter climatological average of around 13–14°C. Limited cloud cover and absence of strong southerly cold outbreaks reduce the likelihood of cooler outcomes below 14°C. Trader consensus, with 16°C at 47.5% implied probability, aligns closely with this model agreement while assigning secondary weight to 15°C and 17°C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 25 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 25 août ?
16°C 48%
17°C 25%
15°C 22%
18°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
22%
16°C
48%
17°C
25%
18°C
6%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 48%
17°C 25%
15°C 22%
18°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
10°C or below
$239 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$239 Vol.
1%
13°C
$252 Vol.
1%
14°C
$274 Vol.
4%
15°C
$604 Vol.
22%
16°C
$591 Vol.
48%
17°C
$498 Vol.
25%
18°C
$252 Vol.
6%
19°C
$5 Vol.
4%
20°C or higher
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air into Wellington, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 15°C on August 25. Official guidance from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles shows mostly fine conditions with highs of 14–15°C under building high pressure, slightly above the late-winter climatological average of around 13–14°C. Limited cloud cover and absence of strong southerly cold outbreaks reduce the likelihood of cooler outcomes below 14°C. Trader consensus, with 16°C at 47.5% implied probability, aligns closely with this model agreement while assigning secondary weight to 15°C and 17°C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,461Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air into Wellington, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 15°C on August 25. Official guidance from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles shows mostly fine conditions with highs of 14–15°C under building high pressure, slightly above the late-winter climatological average of around 13–14°C. Limited cloud cover and absence of strong southerly cold outbreaks reduce the likelihood of cooler outcomes below 14°C. Trader consensus, with 16°C at 47.5% implied probability, aligns closely with this model agreement while assigning secondary weight to 15°C and 17°C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,461Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts indicate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air into Wellington, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 15°C on August 25. Official guidance from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles shows mostly fine conditions with highs of 14–15°C under building high pressure, slightly above the late-winter climatological average of around 13–14°C. Limited cloud cover and absence of strong southerly cold outbreaks reduce the likelihood of cooler outcomes below 14°C. Trader consensus, with 16°C at 47.5% implied probability, aligns closely with this model agreement while assigning secondary weight to 15°C and 17°C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes