Trader sentiment centers on persistent wet-season dynamics in Panama City, where the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone drives widespread convective activity and high humidity on August 23. Official forecasts indicate an 80% chance of thunderstorms with highs near 31°C, as cloud cover and rainfall timing can suppress peak solar insolation by 1–2°C through reduced shortwave radiation and localized evaporative cooling. This explains the tight clustering between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, with differentiation hinging on whether afternoon convection develops early enough to cap temperatures below 32°C or allows brief clearer periods for modest additional warming. Model consensus shows limited variability beyond typical August baselines of 31–32°C highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Panama City le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Panama City le 23 août ?
32°C 37%
31°C 34%
30°C 14%
33°C 13%
$7,595 Vol.
$7,595 Vol.
23 août 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
34%
32°C
37%
33°C
13%
34°C ou plus
1%
32°C 37%
31°C 34%
30°C 14%
33°C 13%
$7,595 Vol.
$7,595 Vol.
23 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$170 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$824 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$873 Vol.
1%
28°C
$602 Vol.
2%
29°C
$746 Vol.
4%
30°C
$822 Vol.
14%
31°C
$839 Vol.
34%
32°C
$1,155 Vol.
37%
33°C
$738 Vol.
13%
34°C ou plus
$418 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on persistent wet-season dynamics in Panama City, where the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone drives widespread convective activity and high humidity on August 23. Official forecasts indicate an 80% chance of thunderstorms with highs near 31°C, as cloud cover and rainfall timing can suppress peak solar insolation by 1–2°C through reduced shortwave radiation and localized evaporative cooling. This explains the tight clustering between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, with differentiation hinging on whether afternoon convection develops early enough to cap temperatures below 32°C or allows brief clearer periods for modest additional warming. Model consensus shows limited variability beyond typical August baselines of 31–32°C highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$7,595Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on persistent wet-season dynamics in Panama City, where the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone drives widespread convective activity and high humidity on August 23. Official forecasts indicate an 80% chance of thunderstorms with highs near 31°C, as cloud cover and rainfall timing can suppress peak solar insolation by 1–2°C through reduced shortwave radiation and localized evaporative cooling. This explains the tight clustering between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, with differentiation hinging on whether afternoon convection develops early enough to cap temperatures below 32°C or allows brief clearer periods for modest additional warming. Model consensus shows limited variability beyond typical August baselines of 31–32°C highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,595Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on persistent wet-season dynamics in Panama City, where the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone drives widespread convective activity and high humidity on August 23. Official forecasts indicate an 80% chance of thunderstorms with highs near 31°C, as cloud cover and rainfall timing can suppress peak solar insolation by 1–2°C through reduced shortwave radiation and localized evaporative cooling. This explains the tight clustering between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, with differentiation hinging on whether afternoon convection develops early enough to cap temperatures below 32°C or allows brief clearer periods for modest additional warming. Model consensus shows limited variability beyond typical August baselines of 31–32°C highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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