Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, updated in the past day, indicate a Moscow high of 25–28°C on August 1 under hot, cloudy conditions without precipitation, directly supporting the market's emphasis on 27°C (55.5%) and 28°C (22.5%). These projections align with current steering patterns and limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover, which caps intensification while historical August averages hover near 23–24°C. Model consensus shows narrow spreads around these values, with minimal risk of deviation into the 29°C+ range or below 25°C given stable high-pressure influence and no incoming fronts. Upcoming real-time observations from ground stations will refine final resolution as the day progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 1er août ?
27°C 56%
28°C 21%
26°C 13%
29°C 10%
$23,495 Vol.
$23,495 Vol.
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
56%
28°C
21%
29°C
10%
30°C ou plus
1%
27°C 56%
28°C 21%
26°C 13%
29°C 10%
$23,495 Vol.
$23,495 Vol.
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
56%
28°C
21%
29°C
10%
30°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, updated in the past day, indicate a Moscow high of 25–28°C on August 1 under hot, cloudy conditions without precipitation, directly supporting the market's emphasis on 27°C (55.5%) and 28°C (22.5%). These projections align with current steering patterns and limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover, which caps intensification while historical August averages hover near 23–24°C. Model consensus shows narrow spreads around these values, with minimal risk of deviation into the 29°C+ range or below 25°C given stable high-pressure influence and no incoming fronts. Upcoming real-time observations from ground stations will refine final resolution as the day progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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