Latest numerical weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and regional Italian services point to a peak of 35–36°C in Milan on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits stronger advection of heat. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 36°C at 59.5% implied probability and 35°C at 36.5%, while keeping 37°C at just 3%. Urban heat-island effects and exact station siting introduce minor uncertainty in the official maximum, but current observational trends and afternoon model runs reinforce the narrow 35–36°C window rather than extremes above 38°C or below 34°C. Final resolution depends on verified end-of-day readings from Milan’s primary meteorological stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 1er août ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 1er août ?
36°C 60%
35°C 37%
37°C 3.0%
34°C 2.5%
NOUVEAU
$39,219 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$39,219 Vol.
1 août 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
37%
36°C
60%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 60%
35°C 37%
37°C 3.0%
34°C 2.5%
NOUVEAU
$39,219 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$39,219 Vol.
1 août 2026
33°C or below
$2,408 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,856 Vol.
2%
35°C
$9,066 Vol.
37%
36°C
$6,299 Vol.
60%
37°C
$6,348 Vol.
3%
38°C
$4,054 Vol.
1%
39°C
$905 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and regional Italian services point to a peak of 35–36°C in Milan on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits stronger advection of heat. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 36°C at 59.5% implied probability and 35°C at 36.5%, while keeping 37°C at just 3%. Urban heat-island effects and exact station siting introduce minor uncertainty in the official maximum, but current observational trends and afternoon model runs reinforce the narrow 35–36°C window rather than extremes above 38°C or below 34°C. Final resolution depends on verified end-of-day readings from Milan’s primary meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$39,219Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and regional Italian services point to a peak of 35–36°C in Milan on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits stronger advection of heat. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 36°C at 59.5% implied probability and 35°C at 36.5%, while keeping 37°C at just 3%. Urban heat-island effects and exact station siting introduce minor uncertainty in the official maximum, but current observational trends and afternoon model runs reinforce the narrow 35–36°C window rather than extremes above 38°C or below 34°C. Final resolution depends on verified end-of-day readings from Milan’s primary meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,219Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and regional Italian services point to a peak of 35–36°C in Milan on August 1 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits stronger advection of heat. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 36°C at 59.5% implied probability and 35°C at 36.5%, while keeping 37°C at just 3%. Urban heat-island effects and exact station siting introduce minor uncertainty in the official maximum, but current observational trends and afternoon model runs reinforce the narrow 35–36°C window rather than extremes above 38°C or below 34°C. Final resolution depends on verified end-of-day readings from Milan’s primary meteorological stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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