Latest short-range model guidance from European and global ensembles points to a Munich maximum near 28–29°C on August 1, supporting the market’s tight clustering on those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and weak southeasterly advection of slightly cooler maritime air explain the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add minor upward bias. Seasonal climatology for early August centers on 23–25°C, yet a lingering warm ridge keeps readings several degrees above average; any late-day clearing or delayed frontal passage could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored range before official DWD observations are finalized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 1er août ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 1er août ?
29°C 41%
28°C 32%
30°C 15%
27°C 12.3%
NOUVEAU
$63,602 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$63,602 Vol.
1 août 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
32%
29°C
41%
30°C
15%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 32%
30°C 15%
27°C 12.3%
NOUVEAU
$63,602 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$63,602 Vol.
1 août 2026
26°C or below
$7,334 Vol.
4%
27°C
$7,328 Vol.
12%
28°C
$10,811 Vol.
32%
29°C
$9,683 Vol.
41%
30°C
$9,702 Vol.
15%
31°C
$9,031 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,876 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,448 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$834 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,632 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,923 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model guidance from European and global ensembles points to a Munich maximum near 28–29°C on August 1, supporting the market’s tight clustering on those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and weak southeasterly advection of slightly cooler maritime air explain the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add minor upward bias. Seasonal climatology for early August centers on 23–25°C, yet a lingering warm ridge keeps readings several degrees above average; any late-day clearing or delayed frontal passage could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored range before official DWD observations are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$63,602Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model guidance from European and global ensembles points to a Munich maximum near 28–29°C on August 1, supporting the market’s tight clustering on those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and weak southeasterly advection of slightly cooler maritime air explain the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add minor upward bias. Seasonal climatology for early August centers on 23–25°C, yet a lingering warm ridge keeps readings several degrees above average; any late-day clearing or delayed frontal passage could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored range before official DWD observations are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,602Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range model guidance from European and global ensembles points to a Munich maximum near 28–29°C on August 1, supporting the market’s tight clustering on those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and weak southeasterly advection of slightly cooler maritime air explain the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add minor upward bias. Seasonal climatology for early August centers on 23–25°C, yet a lingering warm ridge keeps readings several degrees above average; any late-day clearing or delayed frontal passage could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored range before official DWD observations are finalized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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