Current short-term weather models from sources like timeanddate and EaseWeather consensus on a high of 29–30°C for Moscow on August 2, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 45.5% and 23% implied probability. This exceeds the city’s early-August climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, driven by clear or partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation and light winds that favor daytime warming. Model agreement on these thresholds, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns, underpins trader sentiment, though minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities toward 31°C or 28°C. Official monitoring from Russian meteorological agencies will confirm the daily maximum for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 2 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Moscou le 2 août ?
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 21%
28°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
46%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C ou plus
2%
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 21%
28°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$126 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$215 Vol.
1%
26°C
$716 Vol.
2%
27°C
$363 Vol.
3%
28°C
$154 Vol.
8%
29°C
$615 Vol.
23%
30°C
$761 Vol.
46%
31°C
$799 Vol.
21%
32°C
$173 Vol.
4%
33°C ou plus
$168 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term weather models from sources like timeanddate and EaseWeather consensus on a high of 29–30°C for Moscow on August 2, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 45.5% and 23% implied probability. This exceeds the city’s early-August climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, driven by clear or partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation and light winds that favor daytime warming. Model agreement on these thresholds, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns, underpins trader sentiment, though minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities toward 31°C or 28°C. Official monitoring from Russian meteorological agencies will confirm the daily maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,042Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term weather models from sources like timeanddate and EaseWeather consensus on a high of 29–30°C for Moscow on August 2, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 45.5% and 23% implied probability. This exceeds the city’s early-August climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, driven by clear or partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation and light winds that favor daytime warming. Model agreement on these thresholds, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns, underpins trader sentiment, though minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities toward 31°C or 28°C. Official monitoring from Russian meteorological agencies will confirm the daily maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,042Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term weather models from sources like timeanddate and EaseWeather consensus on a high of 29–30°C for Moscow on August 2, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 45.5% and 23% implied probability. This exceeds the city’s early-August climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, driven by clear or partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation and light winds that favor daytime warming. Model agreement on these thresholds, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns, underpins trader sentiment, though minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities toward 31°C or 28°C. Official monitoring from Russian meteorological agencies will confirm the daily maximum for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes