Current short-range forecasts and Shanghai’s August climatology are the main drivers behind the market-implied probabilities, with 28°C holding the highest share at 48.5% followed by 27°C at 23.5%. Typical subtropical summer conditions—persistent high humidity, light winds, and a strong subtropical high—limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures in the 27–28°C range. Official guidance and ensemble models show little deviation from these values for August 2, consistent with historical averages of 25–27°C lows. No incoming cold fronts or significant rainfall are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders are weighting recent model consensus heavily, though small forecast shifts in the final 48 hours could still adjust the leading outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 2 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 2 août ?
28°C 49%
27°C 24%
29°C 18%
26°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
24%
28°C
49%
29°C
18%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 49%
27°C 24%
29°C 18%
26°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$254 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$157 Vol.
2%
26°C
$249 Vol.
8%
27°C
$851 Vol.
24%
28°C
$1,803 Vol.
49%
29°C
$291 Vol.
18%
30°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$223 Vol.
1%
32°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou plus
$409 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts and Shanghai’s August climatology are the main drivers behind the market-implied probabilities, with 28°C holding the highest share at 48.5% followed by 27°C at 23.5%. Typical subtropical summer conditions—persistent high humidity, light winds, and a strong subtropical high—limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures in the 27–28°C range. Official guidance and ensemble models show little deviation from these values for August 2, consistent with historical averages of 25–27°C lows. No incoming cold fronts or significant rainfall are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders are weighting recent model consensus heavily, though small forecast shifts in the final 48 hours could still adjust the leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,865Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts and Shanghai’s August climatology are the main drivers behind the market-implied probabilities, with 28°C holding the highest share at 48.5% followed by 27°C at 23.5%. Typical subtropical summer conditions—persistent high humidity, light winds, and a strong subtropical high—limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures in the 27–28°C range. Official guidance and ensemble models show little deviation from these values for August 2, consistent with historical averages of 25–27°C lows. No incoming cold fronts or significant rainfall are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders are weighting recent model consensus heavily, though small forecast shifts in the final 48 hours could still adjust the leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,865Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts and Shanghai’s August climatology are the main drivers behind the market-implied probabilities, with 28°C holding the highest share at 48.5% followed by 27°C at 23.5%. Typical subtropical summer conditions—persistent high humidity, light winds, and a strong subtropical high—limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures in the 27–28°C range. Official guidance and ensemble models show little deviation from these values for August 2, consistent with historical averages of 25–27°C lows. No incoming cold fronts or significant rainfall are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders are weighting recent model consensus heavily, though small forecast shifts in the final 48 hours could still adjust the leading outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes