Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters keeps daytime maxima moderate even in August, when the rainy season typically brings afternoon cloud cover and showers that suppress solar heating. Current forecasts point to highs near 19–23 °C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 20–22 °C because models show persistent overcast skies and scattered precipitation on the 23rd rather than clear conditions that would allow temperatures to reach the seasonal 24 °C average. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and intensity of rain, which can drop highs by 2–3 °C, versus any breaks in cloud cover that would permit modest warming. Updated National Meteorological Service observations and model runs through the afternoon will determine the final recorded maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 23 août ?
21°C 31%
20°C 28%
22°C 22%
19°C 14.5%
$13,459 Vol.
$13,459 Vol.
18°C ou moins
3%
19°C
15%
20°C
28%
21°C
31%
22°C
22%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
21°C 31%
20°C 28%
22°C 22%
19°C 14.5%
$13,459 Vol.
$13,459 Vol.
18°C ou moins
3%
19°C
15%
20°C
28%
21°C
31%
22°C
22%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters keeps daytime maxima moderate even in August, when the rainy season typically brings afternoon cloud cover and showers that suppress solar heating. Current forecasts point to highs near 19–23 °C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 20–22 °C because models show persistent overcast skies and scattered precipitation on the 23rd rather than clear conditions that would allow temperatures to reach the seasonal 24 °C average. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and intensity of rain, which can drop highs by 2–3 °C, versus any breaks in cloud cover that would permit modest warming. Updated National Meteorological Service observations and model runs through the afternoon will determine the final recorded maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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