Florida's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of incumbent Byron Donalds to pursue the governorship, with recent redistricting reinforcing a partisan lean exceeding R+14. The upcoming August 18 Republican primary features multiple candidates, including frontrunners Catalina Lauf and Jim Schwartzel, while Democratic contenders advance from their own primary; however, the district's voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and statewide Republican advantages in Florida House races sustain trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as endorsements or primary turnout could influence the specific Republican standard-bearer, though structural barriers limit Democratic prospects absent major shifts in turnout or unforeseen events within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-19
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-19
$17,379 Vol.
$17,379 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
6%
$17,379 Vol.
$17,379 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$5,769 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$11,610 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of incumbent Byron Donalds to pursue the governorship, with recent redistricting reinforcing a partisan lean exceeding R+14. The upcoming August 18 Republican primary features multiple candidates, including frontrunners Catalina Lauf and Jim Schwartzel, while Democratic contenders advance from their own primary; however, the district's voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and statewide Republican advantages in Florida House races sustain trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as endorsements or primary turnout could influence the specific Republican standard-bearer, though structural barriers limit Democratic prospects absent major shifts in turnout or unforeseen events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$17,379Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of incumbent Byron Donalds to pursue the governorship, with recent redistricting reinforcing a partisan lean exceeding R+14. The upcoming August 18 Republican primary features multiple candidates, including frontrunners Catalina Lauf and Jim Schwartzel, while Democratic contenders advance from their own primary; however, the district's voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and statewide Republican advantages in Florida House races sustain trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as endorsements or primary turnout could influence the specific Republican standard-bearer, though structural barriers limit Democratic prospects absent major shifts in turnout or unforeseen events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,379Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of incumbent Byron Donalds to pursue the governorship, with recent redistricting reinforcing a partisan lean exceeding R+14. The upcoming August 18 Republican primary features multiple candidates, including frontrunners Catalina Lauf and Jim Schwartzel, while Democratic contenders advance from their own primary; however, the district's voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and statewide Republican advantages in Florida House races sustain trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as endorsements or primary turnout could influence the specific Republican standard-bearer, though structural barriers limit Democratic prospects absent major shifts in turnout or unforeseen events within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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