Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida's 21st district, where redistricting has produced an R+7 Cook PVI and forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Mast won 61.8% in 2024, and his unopposed primary advance contrasts with the narrow Democratic primary win by James Martin. These structural advantages, combined with Florida's broader shift toward a 24-4 Republican House delegation on the new map, underpin the 93% Republican implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts limit realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-21
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-21
$14,472 Vol.
$14,472 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
7%
$14,472 Vol.
$14,472 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$8,459 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$6,013 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida's 21st district, where redistricting has produced an R+7 Cook PVI and forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Mast won 61.8% in 2024, and his unopposed primary advance contrasts with the narrow Democratic primary win by James Martin. These structural advantages, combined with Florida's broader shift toward a 24-4 Republican House delegation on the new map, underpin the 93% Republican implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts limit realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$14,472Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida's 21st district, where redistricting has produced an R+7 Cook PVI and forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Mast won 61.8% in 2024, and his unopposed primary advance contrasts with the narrow Democratic primary win by James Martin. These structural advantages, combined with Florida's broader shift toward a 24-4 Republican House delegation on the new map, underpin the 93% Republican implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts limit realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,472Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida's 21st district, where redistricting has produced an R+7 Cook PVI and forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Mast won 61.8% in 2024, and his unopposed primary advance contrasts with the narrow Democratic primary win by James Martin. These structural advantages, combined with Florida's broader shift toward a 24-4 Republican House delegation on the new map, underpin the 93% Republican implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts limit realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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