Paul LePage’s unopposed Republican primary win and name recognition as former governor position the GOP nominee as the frontrunner in Maine’s 2nd District, an open seat previously held by retiring Democrat Jared Golden. The rural, Trump-won district (carried by the former president in 2024) favors Republicans, reflected in the 58% market price for the Republican Party versus 42% for Democrats. Matthew Dunlap’s narrow ranked-choice victory in the Democratic primary over Joe Baldacci and others has not yet shifted trader sentiment significantly. Early general-election polling shows a tight contest within the margin of error, while national conditions and fundraising patterns sustain the current Republican edge. The November 3 general election, conducted under ranked-choice voting, remains the key upcoming catalyst that could alter probabilities if late developments emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
58%
Parti démocrate
42%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$5,782 Vol.
58%
Parti démocrate
$2,263 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul LePage’s unopposed Republican primary win and name recognition as former governor position the GOP nominee as the frontrunner in Maine’s 2nd District, an open seat previously held by retiring Democrat Jared Golden. The rural, Trump-won district (carried by the former president in 2024) favors Republicans, reflected in the 58% market price for the Republican Party versus 42% for Democrats. Matthew Dunlap’s narrow ranked-choice victory in the Democratic primary over Joe Baldacci and others has not yet shifted trader sentiment significantly. Early general-election polling shows a tight contest within the margin of error, while national conditions and fundraising patterns sustain the current Republican edge. The November 3 general election, conducted under ranked-choice voting, remains the key upcoming catalyst that could alter probabilities if late developments emerge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$8,044Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul LePage’s unopposed Republican primary win and name recognition as former governor position the GOP nominee as the frontrunner in Maine’s 2nd District, an open seat previously held by retiring Democrat Jared Golden. The rural, Trump-won district (carried by the former president in 2024) favors Republicans, reflected in the 58% market price for the Republican Party versus 42% for Democrats. Matthew Dunlap’s narrow ranked-choice victory in the Democratic primary over Joe Baldacci and others has not yet shifted trader sentiment significantly. Early general-election polling shows a tight contest within the margin of error, while national conditions and fundraising patterns sustain the current Republican edge. The November 3 general election, conducted under ranked-choice voting, remains the key upcoming catalyst that could alter probabilities if late developments emerge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,044Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Paul LePage’s unopposed Republican primary win and name recognition as former governor position the GOP nominee as the frontrunner in Maine’s 2nd District, an open seat previously held by retiring Democrat Jared Golden. The rural, Trump-won district (carried by the former president in 2024) favors Republicans, reflected in the 58% market price for the Republican Party versus 42% for Democrats. Matthew Dunlap’s narrow ranked-choice victory in the Democratic primary over Joe Baldacci and others has not yet shifted trader sentiment significantly. Early general-election polling shows a tight contest within the margin of error, while national conditions and fundraising patterns sustain the current Republican edge. The November 3 general election, conducted under ranked-choice voting, remains the key upcoming catalyst that could alter probabilities if late developments emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes