Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin faces Democrat Curtis Gibson and independent Deva Simmons in Florida's 18th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the legislature's April 2026 redistricting map that expanded GOP advantages statewide, underpins the market's 92.5% consensus for a Republican win. Franklin's 2024 reelection margin and the absence of contested primaries reflect limited Democratic resources and structural barriers. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-18
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-18
$37,016 Vol.
$37,016 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
9%
$37,016 Vol.
$37,016 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$23,291 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$13,725 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin faces Democrat Curtis Gibson and independent Deva Simmons in Florida's 18th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the legislature's April 2026 redistricting map that expanded GOP advantages statewide, underpins the market's 92.5% consensus for a Republican win. Franklin's 2024 reelection margin and the absence of contested primaries reflect limited Democratic resources and structural barriers. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$37,016Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin faces Democrat Curtis Gibson and independent Deva Simmons in Florida's 18th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the legislature's April 2026 redistricting map that expanded GOP advantages statewide, underpins the market's 92.5% consensus for a Republican win. Franklin's 2024 reelection margin and the absence of contested primaries reflect limited Democratic resources and structural barriers. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,016Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin faces Democrat Curtis Gibson and independent Deva Simmons in Florida's 18th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's strong Republican tilt, reinforced by the legislature's April 2026 redistricting map that expanded GOP advantages statewide, underpins the market's 92.5% consensus for a Republican win. Franklin's 2024 reelection margin and the absence of contested primaries reflect limited Democratic resources and structural barriers. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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