Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker maintains a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the market’s 90% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district’s solid Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and past election margins, limits Democratic prospects despite nominee Nancy Mannion’s healthcare background. Smucker advanced through the May 2026 Republican primary without opposition, while nonpartisan forecasts rate the seat Solid R or Likely R. No recent polling shifts, major campaign events, or primary upsets have altered the positioning, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district’s structural advantages and historical results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPA-11 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
PA-11 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
90%
Parti démocrate
9%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$9,832 Vol.
90%
Parti démocrate
$4,950 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker maintains a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the market’s 90% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district’s solid Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and past election margins, limits Democratic prospects despite nominee Nancy Mannion’s healthcare background. Smucker advanced through the May 2026 Republican primary without opposition, while nonpartisan forecasts rate the seat Solid R or Likely R. No recent polling shifts, major campaign events, or primary upsets have altered the positioning, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district’s structural advantages and historical results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$14,782Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker maintains a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the market’s 90% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district’s solid Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and past election margins, limits Democratic prospects despite nominee Nancy Mannion’s healthcare background. Smucker advanced through the May 2026 Republican primary without opposition, while nonpartisan forecasts rate the seat Solid R or Likely R. No recent polling shifts, major campaign events, or primary upsets have altered the positioning, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district’s structural advantages and historical results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,782Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker maintains a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the market’s 90% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district’s solid Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and past election margins, limits Democratic prospects despite nominee Nancy Mannion’s healthcare background. Smucker advanced through the May 2026 Republican primary without opposition, while nonpartisan forecasts rate the seat Solid R or Likely R. No recent polling shifts, major campaign events, or primary upsets have altered the positioning, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district’s structural advantages and historical results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes