Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party an 82.5% implied probability versus 15.5% for Democrats. The district's Republican tilt stems from its voter composition and the 2026 redistricting map enacted by the state legislature, which analysts project will deliver a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Daniel Webster's prior 60%+ performance and the August 18 primaries featuring multiple Republican contenders further reinforce the party's structural edge. Forecasters rate the race Solid R or Likely R, with limited Democratic primary activity and no recent polling shifts indicating a competitive general election contest. Upcoming primary results and any late candidate developments could still influence final positioning before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-11
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-11
$18,946 Vol.
$18,946 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
83%
Parti démocrate
16%
$18,946 Vol.
$18,946 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$7,543 Vol.
83%
Parti démocrate
$11,403 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party an 82.5% implied probability versus 15.5% for Democrats. The district's Republican tilt stems from its voter composition and the 2026 redistricting map enacted by the state legislature, which analysts project will deliver a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Daniel Webster's prior 60%+ performance and the August 18 primaries featuring multiple Republican contenders further reinforce the party's structural edge. Forecasters rate the race Solid R or Likely R, with limited Democratic primary activity and no recent polling shifts indicating a competitive general election contest. Upcoming primary results and any late candidate developments could still influence final positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$18,946Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party an 82.5% implied probability versus 15.5% for Democrats. The district's Republican tilt stems from its voter composition and the 2026 redistricting map enacted by the state legislature, which analysts project will deliver a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Daniel Webster's prior 60%+ performance and the August 18 primaries featuring multiple Republican contenders further reinforce the party's structural edge. Forecasters rate the race Solid R or Likely R, with limited Democratic primary activity and no recent polling shifts indicating a competitive general election contest. Upcoming primary results and any late candidate developments could still influence final positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,946Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the Republican Party an 82.5% implied probability versus 15.5% for Democrats. The district's Republican tilt stems from its voter composition and the 2026 redistricting map enacted by the state legislature, which analysts project will deliver a 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. Incumbent Daniel Webster's prior 60%+ performance and the August 18 primaries featuring multiple Republican contenders further reinforce the party's structural edge. Forecasters rate the race Solid R or Likely R, with limited Democratic primary activity and no recent polling shifts indicating a competitive general election contest. Upcoming primary results and any late candidate developments could still influence final positioning before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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