Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 11th congressional district, a seat redrawn in 2025 to strengthen its Republican tilt across western and central Texas counties. Pfluger's uncontested primary win and the district's consistent partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a Republican hold, with limited polling or campaign activity indicating any meaningful shift since primaries concluded. The absence of competitive challengers or notable endorsements for Reynolds reinforces the wide implied probability gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan wave could still influence the outcome, though the seat's structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-11 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-11 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
6%
$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$8,888 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$23,287 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 11th congressional district, a seat redrawn in 2025 to strengthen its Republican tilt across western and central Texas counties. Pfluger's uncontested primary win and the district's consistent partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a Republican hold, with limited polling or campaign activity indicating any meaningful shift since primaries concluded. The absence of competitive challengers or notable endorsements for Reynolds reinforces the wide implied probability gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan wave could still influence the outcome, though the seat's structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$32,175Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 11th congressional district, a seat redrawn in 2025 to strengthen its Republican tilt across western and central Texas counties. Pfluger's uncontested primary win and the district's consistent partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a Republican hold, with limited polling or campaign activity indicating any meaningful shift since primaries concluded. The absence of competitive challengers or notable endorsements for Reynolds reinforces the wide implied probability gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan wave could still influence the outcome, though the seat's structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,175Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 11th congressional district, a seat redrawn in 2025 to strengthen its Republican tilt across western and central Texas counties. Pfluger's uncontested primary win and the district's consistent partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus around a Republican hold, with limited polling or campaign activity indicating any meaningful shift since primaries concluded. The absence of competitive challengers or notable endorsements for Reynolds reinforces the wide implied probability gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan wave could still influence the outcome, though the seat's structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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