Senate Republicans passed their second reconciliation package of the 119th Congress in June 2026, a $70 billion measure funding ICE and Customs and Border Protection that cleared the chamber 52-47 largely along party lines before House approval and presidential signature. Efforts to advance a third package, often called Reconciliation 3.0, have encountered significant internal resistance, with senators citing narrow margins, competing priorities including defense spending increases sought by President Trump, and reluctance to force difficult votes ahead of the November midterms. Senate leaders postponed a key budget resolution vote in August after failing to secure sufficient support, shifting focus to September negotiations even as Appropriations Chair Susan Collins and others have publicly questioned the feasibility of another filibuster-proof bill before the election cycle intensifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSeptember 30
6%
December 31
54%
$3,704 Vol.
September 30
6%
December 31
54%
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans passed their second reconciliation package of the 119th Congress in June 2026, a $70 billion measure funding ICE and Customs and Border Protection that cleared the chamber 52-47 largely along party lines before House approval and presidential signature. Efforts to advance a third package, often called Reconciliation 3.0, have encountered significant internal resistance, with senators citing narrow margins, competing priorities including defense spending increases sought by President Trump, and reluctance to force difficult votes ahead of the November midterms. Senate leaders postponed a key budget resolution vote in August after failing to secure sufficient support, shifting focus to September negotiations even as Appropriations Chair Susan Collins and others have publicly questioned the feasibility of another filibuster-proof bill before the election cycle intensifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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