Republican majorities in both chambers currently block House passage of articles of impeachment, keeping proceedings improbable through the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus at 62% for “Yes” before January 2029 centers on polling that shows Democrats positioned to flip the House, which would enable new resolutions in a subsequent Congress. Trump’s approval ratings in the low-to-mid 30s have sustained Democratic momentum and public support for accountability measures. Multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions have already been introduced and tabled under GOP control, illustrating the procedural path that could reopen if partisan balance shifts. Senate conviction thresholds remain a separate hurdle, but the market prices the elevated likelihood of House action following potential midterm outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated63% chance
$89,652 Vol.
$89,652 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
63% chance
$89,652 Vol.
$89,652 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican majorities in both chambers currently block House passage of articles of impeachment, keeping proceedings improbable through the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus at 62% for “Yes” before January 2029 centers on polling that shows Democrats positioned to flip the House, which would enable new resolutions in a subsequent Congress. Trump’s approval ratings in the low-to-mid 30s have sustained Democratic momentum and public support for accountability measures. Multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions have already been introduced and tabled under GOP control, illustrating the procedural path that could reopen if partisan balance shifts. Senate conviction thresholds remain a separate hurdle, but the market prices the elevated likelihood of House action following potential midterm outcomes.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$89,652End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican majorities in both chambers currently block House passage of articles of impeachment, keeping proceedings improbable through the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus at 62% for “Yes” before January 2029 centers on polling that shows Democrats positioned to flip the House, which would enable new resolutions in a subsequent Congress. Trump’s approval ratings in the low-to-mid 30s have sustained Democratic momentum and public support for accountability measures. Multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions have already been introduced and tabled under GOP control, illustrating the procedural path that could reopen if partisan balance shifts. Senate conviction thresholds remain a separate hurdle, but the market prices the elevated likelihood of House action following potential midterm outcomes.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$89,652End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both chambers currently block House passage of articles of impeachment, keeping proceedings improbable through the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus at 62% for “Yes” before January 2029 centers on polling that shows Democrats positioned to flip the House, which would enable new resolutions in a subsequent Congress. Trump’s approval ratings in the low-to-mid 30s have sustained Democratic momentum and public support for accountability measures. Multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions have already been introduced and tabled under GOP control, illustrating the procedural path that could reopen if partisan balance shifts. Senate conviction thresholds remain a separate hurdle, but the market prices the elevated likelihood of House action following potential midterm outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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