Which bills will become law in 2026?
| Export-control chip security | 36% |
| Data center utility cost protection | 17% |
| AI-chip export licensing | 15% |
| FISA Section 702 reauthorization | 14% |
| Credit-card routing competition | 11% |
| NO FAKES Act | 10% |
| Critical-minerals stockpile | 8% |
| $2.50 Coin | 8% |
| Film/TV production expensing | 6% |
| DEFIANCE Act | 5% |
| SELF DRIVE Act | 4% |
| Smithsonian Women’s History Museum | 4% |
| Trump Airport | 4% |
| SHOWER Act | 1% |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.