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Politics·Congress

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

icon for Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
Politics·Congress

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

5% chance
Polymarket

$14,891 Vol.

5% chance
Polymarket

$14,891 Vol.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress, combined with unified party government under President Trump, have produced strong alignment that limits bipartisan support for veto overrides, which require two-thirds votes in each house. Early 2026 attempts to override Trump vetoes on infrastructure measures fell short despite initial passage margins, and no subsequent override efforts have advanced amid high Republican discipline. Historical patterns show overrides remain rare without divided government or unusually broad coalitions. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter House control and raise confrontation risks in the lame-duck period, though Senate margins and procedural thresholds would still pose significant barriers to any override by year-end.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,891
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress, combined with unified party government under President Trump, have produced strong alignment that limits bipartisan support for veto overrides, which require two-thirds votes in each house. Early 2026 attempts to override Trump vetoes on infrastructure measures fell short despite initial passage margins, and no subsequent override efforts have advanced amid high Republican discipline. Historical patterns show overrides remain rare without divided government or unusually broad coalitions. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter House control and raise confrontation risks in the lame-duck period, though Senate margins and procedural thresholds would still pose significant barriers to any override by year-end.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,891
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Congress override any veto in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 5% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 5¢, the market collectively assigns a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Congress override any veto in 2026?" has generated $14.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Congress override any veto in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Congress override any veto in 2026?" is 5% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Congress override any veto in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.