Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8 for September 2026 anchors the 46.0–48.9 range as the dominant market-implied outcome. The reading fell 3.9 points from August amid a resurgence in fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions linked to the Iran conflict, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6 percent—the highest since June. Both current conditions and expectations components weakened, with the latter dropping sharply to 45.8. Broader context includes sentiment remaining 13 percent below year-ago levels and 16 percent below pre-conflict February readings. The final September release, due September 25, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if revisions materialize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated46.0 to 48.9 69%
58.0+ 11%
52.0 to 54.9 8%
43.0 to 45.9 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<43.0
4%
43.0 to 45.9
8%
46.0 to 48.9
69%
49.0 to 51.9
7%
52.0 to 54.9
8%
55.0 to 57.9
4%
58.0+
11%
46.0 to 48.9 69%
58.0+ 11%
52.0 to 54.9 8%
43.0 to 45.9 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<43.0
$264 Vol.
4%
43.0 to 45.9
$60 Vol.
8%
46.0 to 48.9
$182 Vol.
69%
49.0 to 51.9
$45 Vol.
7%
52.0 to 54.9
$85 Vol.
8%
55.0 to 57.9
$50 Vol.
4%
58.0+
$50 Vol.
11%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8 for September 2026 anchors the 46.0–48.9 range as the dominant market-implied outcome. The reading fell 3.9 points from August amid a resurgence in fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions linked to the Iran conflict, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6 percent—the highest since June. Both current conditions and expectations components weakened, with the latter dropping sharply to 45.8. Broader context includes sentiment remaining 13 percent below year-ago levels and 16 percent below pre-conflict February readings. The final September release, due September 25, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if revisions materialize.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Volume
$736End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8 for September 2026 anchors the 46.0–48.9 range as the dominant market-implied outcome. The reading fell 3.9 points from August amid a resurgence in fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions linked to the Iran conflict, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6 percent—the highest since June. Both current conditions and expectations components weakened, with the latter dropping sharply to 45.8. Broader context includes sentiment remaining 13 percent below year-ago levels and 16 percent below pre-conflict February readings. The final September release, due September 25, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if revisions materialize.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$736End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8 for September 2026 anchors the 46.0–48.9 range as the dominant market-implied outcome. The reading fell 3.9 points from August amid a resurgence in fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions linked to the Iran conflict, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6 percent—the highest since June. Both current conditions and expectations components weakened, with the latter dropping sharply to 45.8. Broader context includes sentiment remaining 13 percent below year-ago levels and 16 percent below pre-conflict February readings. The final September release, due September 25, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if revisions materialize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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