Persistent oversupply from expanded U.S. layer flocks of 340-347 million birds and record productivity of 302 eggs per hen annually continues to anchor retail egg prices near the $2.27 dozen average reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for August 2026. This follows sharp declines from the March 2025 peak of $6.23 amid flock rebuilding after earlier highly pathogenic avian influenza losses, with wholesale prices remaining depressed and supply outpacing demand through 2026. A modest 3.8% month-over-month rise in August reflects stable consumer demand, while ongoing but reduced bird flu detections introduce limited upside risk. Trader consensus reflected in the leading $2.20–$2.50 brackets aligns with these fundamentals and the proximity to September resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.20 to $2.30 39%
$2.30 to $2.40 23%
$2.10 to $2.20 12%
$2.40 to $2.50 11%
<$1.90
4%
$1.90 to $2.00
5%
$2.00 to $2.10
5%
$2.10 to $2.20
12%
$2.20 to $2.30
39%
$2.30 to $2.40
27%
$2.40 to $2.50
11%
$2.50 to $2.60
4%
$2.60 to $2.70
7%
≥$2.70
4%
$2.20 to $2.30 39%
$2.30 to $2.40 23%
$2.10 to $2.20 12%
$2.40 to $2.50 11%
<$1.90
4%
$1.90 to $2.00
5%
$2.00 to $2.10
5%
$2.10 to $2.20
12%
$2.20 to $2.30
39%
$2.30 to $2.40
27%
$2.40 to $2.50
11%
$2.50 to $2.60
4%
$2.60 to $2.70
7%
≥$2.70
4%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The September release is presently scheduled for October 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The September release is presently scheduled for October 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent oversupply from expanded U.S. layer flocks of 340-347 million birds and record productivity of 302 eggs per hen annually continues to anchor retail egg prices near the $2.27 dozen average reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for August 2026. This follows sharp declines from the March 2025 peak of $6.23 amid flock rebuilding after earlier highly pathogenic avian influenza losses, with wholesale prices remaining depressed and supply outpacing demand through 2026. A modest 3.8% month-over-month rise in August reflects stable consumer demand, while ongoing but reduced bird flu detections introduce limited upside risk. Trader consensus reflected in the leading $2.20–$2.50 brackets aligns with these fundamentals and the proximity to September resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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